A Dual-Weighted Approach to Order Reduction in 4DVAR Data Assimilation

Strategies to achieve order reduction in four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVAR) search for an optimal low-rank state subspace for the analysis update. A common feature of the reduction methods proposed in atmospheric and oceanographic studies is that the identification of the basis functions relies on the model dynamics only, without properly accounting for the specific details of the data assimilation system (DAS). In this study a general framework of the proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) method is considered and a cost-effective approach is proposed to incorporate DAS information into the order-reduction procedure. The sensitivities of the cost functional in 4DVAR data assimilation with respect to the time-varying model state are obtained from a backward integration of the adjoint model. This information is further used to define appropriate weights and to implement a dual-weighted proper orthogonal decomposition (DWPOD) method for order reduction. The use of a weighted ensemble data mean and weighted snapshots using the adjoint DAS is a novel element in reduced-order 4DVAR data assimilation. Numerical results are presented with a global shallow-water model based on the Lin–Rood flux-form semi-Lagrangian scheme. A simplified 4DVAR DAS is considered in the twin-experiment framework with initial conditions specified from the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) datasets. A comparative analysis with the standard POD method shows that the reduced DWPOD basis may provide an increased efficiency in representing an a priori specified forecast aspect and as a tool to perform reduced-order optimal control. This approach represents a first step toward the development of an order-reduction methodology that combines in an optimal fashion the model dynamics and the characteristics of the 4DVAR DAS.