Vegetation response to the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) variability during the Late-Holocene from the central Indian core monsoon zone

The Holocene ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 095968362110031
Author(s):  
Mohammad Firoze Quamar ◽  
Ratan Kar ◽  
Biswajeet Thakur

Pollen analysis and radiocarbon dating of a 1.4 m deep lacustrine sediment profile from Chhattisgarh State, central India, in the core monsoon zone (CMZ), has revealed the vegetation history, associated climate change and the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) rainfall variability during the Late-Holocene. The pollen evidence suggests that between ca. 3000 and 2600 cal year BP, tree-savannah vegetation occurred in the region having a comparatively lesser monsoon rainfall. The forest expanded and culminated into an open-mixed tropical deciduous forest between ca. 2600 and 2200 cal year BP under a warm and moderately humid climate with an increase in monsoon rainfall. Subsequently, between ca. 2200 and 2000 cal year BP, the existing open-mixed tropical deciduous forest transformed into a mixed tropical deciduous forest under a warm and humid climate with further increase in monsoon rainfall. Finally, between ca. 2000 and 1800 cal year BP, a dense mixed tropical deciduous forest occupied the landscape under a regime of a warm and relatively more humid climate with further strengthening of the ISM. The gradual warming, and the climatic amelioration with the intensification of the ISM, during the Late-Holocene (ca. 2600–1800 cal year BP; ~650 BC to AD150) corresponds to the Roman Warm Period (RWP), recorded globally between 2500 and1600 cal year BP (~550 BC to AD ~350). Human activities were present around the study area, which varied according to the ISM variations. The present study provides insights into the gradual intensification of the monsoon since the last ca. 2600 cal year BP (between ca. 2600 and1800 cal year BP), and an increase in the ISM strength in the CMZ of India, against the generally weakening trend during the Late-Holocene.

Author(s):  
Ambily S ◽  
Girish T.E ◽  
Haritha V.G ◽  
Sunilkumar Morais.C ◽  
Baburaj M.S

We have defined M cycles as modified form of Gleissberg cycles to study the quasi-periodic secular changes in sunspot activity. Using direct and proxy observations for more than 1200 years we have provided evidence for the influence of the above M cyles on the monsoon rainfall variability and occurrences of major droughts in India. The solar cycle averages of All Indian summer monsoon rainfall (AISMR) and probability of observation of below or above normal AISMR is found to show correlated variations with changes in amplitude of sunspot cycles during the years 1901-2018 AD. Major droughts in India show a preference to occur during minima and declining phases of the M cycles during the years 650-2018 AD . We could generally find low probability of occurrence of droughts in India during the medieval solar maximum epoch ( 1100-1250 AD) and during most of the prolonged sunspot minima periods including the Maunder minima. The evolution of mean Indian summer monsoon rainfall during 650-1900 AD is studied using proxy data from multiple sources with maxima during the 12th century and minima during 14th and 19th centuries. The association of Indian droughts with El-Nino and the possibilities of long term prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall variability will be also discussed


2016 ◽  
Vol 48 (7-8) ◽  
pp. 2707-2727 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jasti S. Chowdary ◽  
H. S. Harsha ◽  
C. Gnanaseelan ◽  
G. Srinivas ◽  
Anant Parekh ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xingchao Chen ◽  
Olivier M. Pauluis ◽  
Fuqing Zhang

Abstract. Simulations of the Indian summer monsoon by cloud-permitting WRF model at gray zone resolution are described in this study, with a particular emphasis on the model ability to capture the Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations (MISO). Five boreal summers are simulated from 2007 to 2011 using the ERA-Interim reanalysis as lateral boundary forcing data. Our experimental set-up relies on a high horizontal resolution of 9 km to capture deep convection without the use of a cumulus parameterization. When compared to simulations with coarser grid spacing (27-km) and using the cumulus scheme, our approach results in a reduction of the biases in mean precipitation and in more realistic reproduction of the low frequency variability associated with MISO. Results show that the model at gray zone resolution captures the fundamental features of the summer monsoon. The spatial distributions and temporal evolutions of monsoon rainfall in WRF simulations are verified qualitatively well against observations from the Tropical Rainfall Measurement Mission (TRMM), with regional maxima located over West Ghats, central India, Himalaya foothills and the west coast of Myanmar. The onset, breaks and withdrawal of the summer monsoon in each year are also realistically captured by the model. MISO phase composites of monsoon rainfall, low-level wind and precipitable water anomalies in the simulations are compared qualitatively with the observations. Both the simulations and observations show a northeastward propagation of the MISO, with the intensification and weakening of Somali Jet over the Arabian Sea during the active and break phases of the Indian summer monsoon.


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