Intraseasonal Variability of Upper Ocean Heat Fluxes in the Central Bay of Bengal

Upper-ocean heat content and heat fluxes of 10-60-day intraseasonal oscillations (ISOs) were examined using high-resolution currents and hydrographic fields measured at five deep-water moorings in the central Bay of Bengal (BoB) and satellite observations as part of an international effort examining the role of the ocean on monsoon intraseasonal oscillations (MISOs) in the BoB. Currents, temperature and salinity were sampled over the upper 600 to 1200 m from July 2018 -June 2019. The 10-60-day velocity ISOs of magnitudes 20-30 cm s−1 were observed in the upper 200 m, and temperature ISOs as large as 3°C were observed in the thermocline near 100 m. The wavelet co-spectral analysis reveals multiple periods of ISOs carrying heat southward. The meridional heat-flux divergence associated with the 10-60-day band was strongest in the central BoB at depths between 40 and 100 m, where the averaged flux divergence over the observational period is as large as 10−7 ° C s−1. The vertically-integrated heat-flux-divergence in the upper 200 m is about 20-30 Wm−2, which is comparable to the annual-average net surface heat flux in the northern BoB. Correlations between the heat content over the 26° C isotherm and the outgoing longwave radiation indicate that the atmospheric forcing typically leads changes of the oceanic-heat content, but in some instances, during fall-winter months, oceanic-heat content leads the atmospheric convection. Our analyses suggest that ISOs play an important role in the upper-ocean heat balance by transporting heat southward, while aiding the air-sea coupling at ISO time scales.

On the Weakening of Northward Propagation of Intraseasonal Oscillations During Positive Indian Ocean Dipole Events.

The northward propagation of intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) is one of the major modes of variability in the tropics during boreal summer, associated with active and break spells of monsoon rainfall over the Indian region, and modulate the Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR). The northward march starts close to the equator over warm waters of the Indian Ocean and continues till the foothills of the Himalayas. The northward propagations tend to be weaker during positive Indian Ocean Dipole (pIOD) years. We have used the "moisture mode" framework to understand the processes responsible for the weakening of northward propagations during IOD years. Our analyses show that moistening caused by the horizontal advection was the major contributor for the northward propagations during negative IOD (nIOD) years, and its amplitude is much smaller during pIOD years. The reduction in the zonal advection during pIOD is responsible for the weakening of northward propagations. Also, the mean structure of entropy between 925hpa – 500hpa levels remained similar over most of the monsoon region across the contrasting IOD years. The reason for weaker northward propagations can be attributed to the weaker zonal wind perturbations at intraseasonal timescales. The weaker zonal wind perturbations during ISO events in pIOD years owing to cooler sea surface temperatures (SST) in the South-East Equatorial Indian Ocean (SEIO) and warmer West Equatorial Indian Ocean (WEIO) and South-East Arabian Sea (SEAS) is proposed to be the possible reason for the weakening of northward propagations during pIOD years.

Mooring observed intraseasonal oscillations in the central South China Sea during summer monsoon season

The South China Sea (SCS) is a high biodiversity region in the world ocean, supports abundant marine resources to the peripheral nations, and affects weather/climate in southeast Asia. A better understanding of its circulation is important to better prediction and management of the SCS. Here we reveal sizable intraseasonal oscillations at period ~ 50 days between May and November 2017 in the acoustic Doppler current profiler observed velocity in the central SCS. Satellite observed wind and sea level data together with a process-oriented numerical experiment suggest that the oscillations were caused by locally-generated and remotely-penetrated westward-propagating Rossby waves. The summer southwesterly monsoon strengthening/weakening and the resultant Ekman pumping velocity and shoreward Ekman transport increase/decrease and consequent coastal sea level rise/fall off the west coast of Palawan create westward-propagating Rossby waves causing velocity oscillations in the central SCS. Besides the local generation, Rossby waves with sea level anomaly > 0.2 m propagating from the Pacific through the Sulu Sea into the SCS could contribute to the intraseasonal velocity oscillations in the central SCS.

Bay of Bengal Intraseasonal Oscillations and the 2018 Monsoon Onset

In the Bay of Bengal, the warm, dry boreal spring concludes with the onset of the summer monsoon and accompanying southwesterly winds, heavy rains, and variable air-sea fluxes. Here, we summarize the 2018 monsoon onset using observations collected through the multinational Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillations in the Bay of Bengal (MISO-BoB) program between the US, India, and Sri Lanka. MISO-BoB aims to improve understanding of monsoon intraseasonal variability, and the 2018 field effort captured the coupled air-sea response during a transition from active-to-break conditions in the central BoB. The active phase of the ~20-day research cruise was characterized by warm sea surface temperature (SST > 30°C), cold atmospheric outflows with intermittent heavy rainfall, and increasing winds (from 2 to 15 m s−1). Accumulated rainfall exceeded 200 mm with 90% of precipitation occurring during the first week. The following break period was both dry and clear, with persistent 10−12 m s−1 wind and evaporation of 0.2 mm h−1. The evolving environmental state included a deepening ocean mixed layer (from ~20 to 50 m), cooling SST (by ~ 1°C), and warming/drying of the lower to mid-troposphere. Local atmospheric development was consistent with phasing of the large-scale intraseasonal oscillation. The upper ocean stores significant heat in the BoB, enough to maintain SST above 29°C despite cooling by surface fluxes and ocean mixing. Comparison with reanalysis indicates biases in air-sea fluxes, which may be related to overly cool prescribed SST. Resolution of such biases offers a path toward improved forecasting of transition periods in the monsoon.

Observations of Eddy-Modulated Turbulent Mixing in the Southern Bay of Bengal

Long-term measurements of turbulent kinetic-energy dissipation rate (ε), and turbulent temperature-variance dissipation rate (χT) in the thermocline, along with currents, temperature, and salinity were made at two subsurface moorings in the southern Bay of Bengal (BoB). This is a part of a major international program, conducted between July 2018 and June 2019, for investigating the role of the BoB on the monsoon intraseasonal oscillations. One mooring was located on the typical path of the Southwest Monsoon Current (SMC), and the other was in a region where the Sri Lanka Dome is typically found during the summer monsoon. Microstructure and finescale estimates of vertical diffusivity revealed the long-term subthermocline mixing patterns in the southern BoB. Enhanced turbulence and large eddy diffusivities were observed within the SMC during the passage of a subsurface-intensified anticyclonic eddy. During this time, background shear and strain appeared to influence high-frequency motions such as near-inertial waves and internal tides, leading to increased mixing. Near the Sri Lanka Dome, enhanced dissipation occurred at the margins of the cyclonic feature. Turbulent mixing was enhanced with the passage of Rossby waves and eddies. During these events, values of χT exceeding 10−4 °C2 s−1 were recorded concurrently with ε values exceeding 10−5 W kg −1. Inferred diffusivity peaked well above background values of 10−6 m2 s−1, leading to an annually-averaged diffusivity near 10−4 m2 s−1. Turbulence appeared low throughout much of the deployment period. Most of the mixing occurred in spurts during isolated events.