scholarly journals Superiority of combining two independent trials in interim futility analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 522-540
Author(s):  
Qiqi Deng ◽  
Ying-Ying Zhang ◽  
Dooti Roy ◽  
Ming-Hui Chen

Traditionally, statistical methods for futility analysis are developed based on a single study. To establish a drug's effectiveness, usually at least two adequate and well-controlled studies need to demonstrate convincing evidence on its own. Therefore, in a standard clinical development program in chronic diseases, two independent studies are generally conducted for drug registration. This paper proposes a statistical method to combine interim data from two independent and similar studies for interim futility analysis and shows that the conditional power approach based on combined interim data has better operating characteristics compared to the approach based on single-trial interim data, even with small to moderate heterogeneity on the treatment effects between the two studies.

US Neurology ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 47 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said R Beydoun ◽  
Jeffrey Rosenfeld

Edaravone significantly slows progression of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), and is the first therapy to receive approval by the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) for the disease in 22 years. Approval of edaravone has marked a new chapter in pharmaceutical development since the key trial included a novel strategic clinical design involving cohort enrichment. In addition, approval was based on clinical trials that had a relatively small patient number and were performed outside of the US. Edaravone was developed through a series of clinical trials in Japan where it was determined that a well-defined subgroup of patients was required to reveal a treatment effect within the study period. Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis is associated with wide-ranging disease heterogeneity (both within the spectrum of ALS phenotypes as well as in the rate of progression). The patient cohort enrichment strategy aimed to address this heterogeneity and should now be considered as a viable, and perhaps preferred, trial design for future studies. Future research incorporating relevant biomarkers may help to better elucidate edaravone’s mechanism of action, pharmacodynamics, and subsequently ALS phenotypes that may preferentially benefit from treatment. In this review, we discuss the edaravone clinical development program, outline the strategic clinical trial design, and highlight important lessons for future trials.


2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (S1) ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
C. de Bodinat ◽  
B. Delalleau

The clinical development program strategy of a new treatment of depression to be registered in Europe must be built in agreement with recommendations of the CHMP guidance.Demonstration that an antidepressant is effective in treatment of major depressive disorders requires consideration of specific recommendations notably regarding the use of placebo and reference drugs, efficacy assessment, designs features and safety aspects.In the field of depression, comparisons between test medicinal product and reference drugs are difficult to interpretate since the level of placebo response is high and variable. An adequate evaluation of antidepressant efficacy is firstly based on randomised double blind comparison versus placebo. For short term efficacy, studies with 6 week-treatment period are required and three arm trials including placebo and active control are recommended. Regarding the long term efficacy, relapse prevention study is the design recommended for demonstrating that the short term effect can be maintained over time.Assessment of efficacy criteria includes both clinical relevance and statisitical significance, particularly:Improvement expressed as difference between baseline and post-treatment score in symptomatology and as proportion of responders.Remission, defined as a condition where no or only few signs remained, with a justified cut-off on a validated rating-scale.In randomised withdrawal trials, efficacy is expressed as number of patients relapsing and/or time to relapse.The acceptable scales for use as primary endpoint include the HAM-D17 scale, the MADRS scale. Cautions regarding designs features, safety assessment and the global methodological issues faced in conducting such program will be detailed in the presentation.


AIDS ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 24 (17) ◽  
pp. 2743-2750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayman Ayoub ◽  
Sam Alston ◽  
James Goodrich ◽  
Jayvant Heera ◽  
Andy IM Hoepelman ◽  
...  

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