Statistical Inference: Parametric Point Estimation

Author(s):  
Narayan C. Giri
Author(s):  
Željko Ivezi ◽  
Andrew J. Connolly ◽  
Jacob T. VanderPlas ◽  
Alexander Gray ◽  
Željko Ivezi ◽  
...  

This chapter introduces the main concepts of statistical inference, or drawing conclusions from data. There are three main types of inference: point estimation, confidence estimation, and hypothesis testing. There are two major statistical paradigms which address the statistical inference questions: the classical, or frequentist paradigm, and the Bayesian paradigm. While most of statistics and machine learning is based on the classical paradigm, Bayesian techniques are being embraced by the statistical and scientific communities at an ever-increasing pace. The chapter begins with a short comparison of classical and Bayesian paradigms, and then discusses the three main types of statistical inference from the classical point of view.


Author(s):  
LANCE FIONDELLA

Most of the existing research in multi-state systems relies on point estimation for modeling and optimization. The assessment of uncertainty during design is essential, yet variability in system performance is commonly ignored. Unfortunately, unlimited testing which could provide these arbitrarily accurate estimates is not economical. This paper describes a statistical inference technique to quantify the uncertainties inherent in limited testing. The methodology enables estimation of joint confidence intervals for both system and component performance distributions and subsequently provides a hypothesis testing procedure to perform objective assessments. This builds on previous research which has only addressed confidence bounds for system reliability. Instead of dichotomizing systems into acceptable and unacceptable classes, our approach can handle the case when a system exhibits three or more distinct performance levels. Thus, the method does not place restrictions on the flexibility of the underlying multi-state system concept. The value of the approach is illustrated using a case study and several experiments. The results indicate that joint confidence intervals produced by this procedure are accurate for a range of common confidence levels and sample sizes. It is also demonstrated how hypothesis testing and uncertainty assessment may be used to objectively measure system readiness.


Though stochastic models are widely used to describe single ion channel behaviour, statistical inference based on them has received little con­sideration. This paper describes techniques of statistical inference, in particular likelihood methods, suitable for Markov models incorporating limited time resolution by means of a discrete detection limit. To simplify the analysis, attention is restricted to two-state models, although the methods have more general applicability. Non-uniqueness of the mean open-time and mean closed-time estimators obtained by moment methods based on single exponential approximations to the apparent open-time and apparent closed-time distributions has been reported. The present study clarifies and extends this previous work by proving that, for such approximations, the likelihood equations as well as the moment equations (usually) have multiple solutions. Such non-uniqueness corresponds to non-identifiability of the statistical model for the apparent quantities. By contrast, higher-order approximations yield theoretically identifiable models. Likelihood-based estimation procedures are developed for both single exponential and bi-exponential approximations. The methods and results are illustrated by numerical examples based on literature and simulated data, with consideration given to empirical distributions and model control, likelihood plots, and point estimation and confidence regions.


1970 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 402, 404-405
Author(s):  
ROBERT E. DEAR

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