Safety evaluation of multiple horizontal curves using statistical models

Neena M. Joseph; M. Harikrishna; M.V.L.R. Anjaneyulu

doi:10.1504/ijvs.2021.115923

Safety evaluation of multiple horizontal curves using statistical models

International Journal of Vehicle Safety ◽

10.1504/ijvs.2021.10039036 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 12 (1) ◽

pp. 81

Author(s):

M. Harikrishna ◽

M.V.L.R. Anjaneyulu ◽

Neena M. Joseph

Keyword(s):

Statistical Models ◽

Safety Evaluation ◽

Horizontal Curves

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Safety Evaluation of Horizontal Alignment Design Consistency on Rural Two-Lane Highways

Transportation Research Record Journal of the Transportation Research Board ◽

10.1177/0361198119829414 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 2673 (2) ◽

pp. 628-636 ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Ian Hamilton ◽

Scott Himes ◽

R. J. Porter ◽

Eric Donnell

Keyword(s):

Negative Binomial ◽

Safety Evaluation ◽

Negative Binomial Regression ◽

Expected Number ◽

Horizontal Alignment ◽

Highway Safety Manual ◽

Horizontal Curves ◽

Alternative Measures ◽

Using Data ◽

Design Consistency

Design consistency in the context of highway and street design refers to the conformance of highway geometry to driver expectancy. Existing design policies provide guidance related to horizontal alignment design consistency. While design consistency has safety implications and is intuitively linked to roadway departure crashes, the authors are only aware of a few studies that sought to link measures of design consistency to safety performance. This study explores relationships between alternative measures of horizontal alignment design consistency and the expected number of roadway departure crashes along horizontal curves on rural, two-lane, two-way roads. The authors analyzed 854 horizontal curves on rural two-lane highways in Indiana and Pennsylvania using data obtained from the SHRP 2 Roadway Information Database (RID) 2.0. Relationships between measures of design consistency and the expected number of roadway departure crashes were explored using a negative binomial regression modeling approach. The results indicate a relationship between the frequency of roadway departure crashes on a study curve and the radii of upstream and downstream curves. The ratio of the length of upstream and downstream tangents relative to a study curve radius was also statistically significant in Pennsylvania. Such findings are intuitive given the concept of design consistency and represent an advancement to existing predictive methods in the AASHTO Highway Safety Manual, which estimate the expected number of crashes on a segment as a function of the characteristics of only that segment.

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Influence of vertical alignment on horizontal curve perception: effect of spirals and position of vertical curve

Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering ◽

10.1139/l04-090 ◽

2005 ◽

Vol 32 (1) ◽

pp. 204-212 ◽

Cited By ~ 6

Author(s):

Moudud Hasan ◽

Tarek Sayed ◽

Yasser Hassan

Keyword(s):

Visual Perception ◽

Statistical Models ◽

Geometric Design ◽

Geometric Parameters ◽

Horizontal Curve ◽

Vertical Alignment ◽

Two Phase ◽

Horizontal Curves ◽

Phase Study ◽

Horizontal Curvature

Several studies have shown that the perception of horizontal curves can be influenced by an overlapping vertical alignment. A previous two-phase study investigated the hypothesis that a horizontal curve appears flatter when overlapping with a vertical sag curve and sharper when overlapping with a vertical crest curve. The study concluded that the hypothesis was valid. The study also developed several statistical models to estimate the perceived radius of horizontal curves in a combined alignment. This study extends the earlier work by investigating the effect of additional geometric parameters on the perception. The parameters examined include the presence of spiral curves, the length of the spirals, and the position of the vertical curve midpoint relative to the horizontal curve. It was found that (1) driver misperception of the horizontal curvature increases as the radius of the horizontal curve increases, (2) the presence of a spiral curve affects driver perception of the horizontal curvature in the case of crest combination only, (3) the length of the spiral curve has no effect on the perception whether on crest or sag combinations, and (4) while the effect of the position of the vertical curve midpoint relative to the horizontal curve is not statistically significant, it seems that the perception problem appears to diminish as the positive offsets increases.Key words: highway geometric design, visual perception, combined alignment.

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