Safety Evaluation and Adjustment of Superelevation Design Guides for Horizontal Curves Based on Reliability Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 143 (6) ◽  
pp. 04017013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hamid Farhad Mollashahi ◽  
Kasra Khajavi ◽  
Asieh Khadem Ghaeini
Author(s):  
Ian Hamilton ◽  
Scott Himes ◽  
R. J. Porter ◽  
Eric Donnell

Design consistency in the context of highway and street design refers to the conformance of highway geometry to driver expectancy. Existing design policies provide guidance related to horizontal alignment design consistency. While design consistency has safety implications and is intuitively linked to roadway departure crashes, the authors are only aware of a few studies that sought to link measures of design consistency to safety performance. This study explores relationships between alternative measures of horizontal alignment design consistency and the expected number of roadway departure crashes along horizontal curves on rural, two-lane, two-way roads. The authors analyzed 854 horizontal curves on rural two-lane highways in Indiana and Pennsylvania using data obtained from the SHRP 2 Roadway Information Database (RID) 2.0. Relationships between measures of design consistency and the expected number of roadway departure crashes were explored using a negative binomial regression modeling approach. The results indicate a relationship between the frequency of roadway departure crashes on a study curve and the radii of upstream and downstream curves. The ratio of the length of upstream and downstream tangents relative to a study curve radius was also statistically significant in Pennsylvania. Such findings are intuitive given the concept of design consistency and represent an advancement to existing predictive methods in the AASHTO Highway Safety Manual, which estimate the expected number of crashes on a segment as a function of the characteristics of only that segment.


2013 ◽  
Vol 838-841 ◽  
pp. 835-839
Author(s):  
Xiao Chun Lu ◽  
Liang Gan

In this paper, slope stability considering non-probabilistic reliability analysis based on interval analysis was discussed. We can get safety factor, safety factor interval, non-probabilistic reliability by slope stability computation based on interval analysis. Based on the hypothesis that interval variable of structural performance function numerical value obeys uniform distribution, failure probability based on interval analysis was put forward. These form plural evaluation system about slope stability; it perfects safety evaluation for slope stability.


Author(s):  
Karim Habib ◽  
Maged Gouda ◽  
Karim El-Basyouny

The generic nature of road design is indiscriminate to age, race, or gender, as it is implicitly assumed that there are few behavioral differences between drivers while traversing various alignment elements (e.g., horizontal curves, tangential segments, etc.). For instance, the perception reaction time required, which is based on an 85th percentile value, on a tangent section is the same as that on a horizontal curve. This suggests that current guidelines do not consider the complexity that some geometric features might induce on drivers, and consequently, there is a need to address the many considerations of diversity. In this respect, human factors should be explicitly included in design guidelines. One aspect of human factors that has received little attention in the literature is related to the mental workload. In this study, a procedure is presented to estimate the mental workload for stopping sight distance. Then, reliability analysis is conducted to compare the change in the probability of non-compliance owing to the available sight distance and based on the mental workload. By analyzing data from 12 horizontal curves in Alberta, Canada, the probability of non-compliance dropped from 9.1% to 0.7%, and a moderate correlation with collisions was found. The results of the analysis showed that incorporating mental workload into the geometric design process can improve safety performance.


2013 ◽  
Vol 652-654 ◽  
pp. 1362-1366 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xian Yong Zhang ◽  
Jin Feng

Reliability of eccentric wear casing was studied by Monte-Carlo and finite element method. In different internal pressures, calculated reliability of P110 steel grade 9 5/8 inches casing with wear depth less than 0.5 times wall thickness. The influence of different cement ring circumferential missing amount and stratum pressures on wear casing reliability were presented. The results provide basis for casing safety evaluation and reasonable replacement.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 81
Author(s):  
Neena M. Joseph ◽  
M. Harikrishna ◽  
M.V.L.R. Anjaneyulu

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