scholarly journals Local Stability Analysis of an SVIR Epidemic Model

CAUCHY ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 20
Author(s):  
Joko Harianto

In this paper, we present an SVIR epidemic model with deadly deseases. Initially the basic formulation of the model is presented. Two equilibrium point exists for the system; disease free and endemic equilibrium. The local stability of the disease free and endemic equilibrium exists when the basic reproduction number less or greater than unity, respectively. If the value of R0 less than one then the desease free equilibrium is locally stable, and if its exceeds, the endemic equilibrium is locally stable. The numerical results are presented for illustration.

CAUCHY ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 102
Author(s):  
Joko Harianto ◽  
Titik Suparwati

In this article, we present an SVIR epidemic model with deadly deseases and non constant population. We only discuss the local stability analysis of the model. Initially the basic formulation of the model is presented. Two equilibrium point exists for the system; disease free and endemic equilibrium point. The local stability of the disease free and endemic equilibrium exists when the basic reproduction number less or greater than unity, respectively. If the value of R0 less than one then the desease free equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable, and if its exceeds, the endemic equilibrium point is locally asymptotically stable. The numerical results are presented for illustration.


CAUCHY ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 122-132
Author(s):  
Joko Harianto ◽  
Inda Puspita Sari

Discussion of local stability analysis of SVIR models in this article is included in the scope of applied mathematics. The purpose of this discussion was to provide results of local stability analysis that had not been discussed in some articles related to the SVIR model. The SVIR models discussed in this article involve logistics growth in the vaccinated compartment. The results obtained, i.e. if the basic reproduction number less than one and m is positive, then there is one equilibrium point i.e. E0 is locally asymptotically stable. In the field of epidemiology, this means that the disease will disappear from the population. However, if the basic reproduction number more than one and b1 more than b, then there are two equilibrium points i.e. disease-free equilibrium point denoted by E0 and the endemic equilibrium point denoted by E1*. In this case the endemic equilibrium point E1* is locally asymptotically stable. In the field of epidemiology, this means that the disease will remain in the population. The numerical simulation supports these results.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (22) ◽  
pp. 8296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Malen Etxeberria-Etxaniz ◽  
Santiago Alonso-Quesada ◽  
Manuel De la Sen

This paper investigates a susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) epidemic model with demography under two vaccination effort strategies. Firstly, the model is investigated under vaccination of newborns, which is fact in a direct action on the recruitment level of the model. Secondly, it is investigated under a periodic impulsive vaccination on the susceptible in the sense that the vaccination impulses are concentrated in practice in very short time intervals around a set of impulsive time instants subject to constant inter-vaccination periods. Both strategies can be adapted, if desired, to the time-varying levels of susceptible in the sense that the control efforts be increased as those susceptible levels increase. The model is discussed in terms of suitable properties like the positivity of the solutions, the existence and allocation of equilibrium points, and stability concerns related to the values of the basic reproduction number. It is proven that the basic reproduction number lies below unity, so that the disease-free equilibrium point is asymptotically stable for larger values of the disease transmission rates under vaccination controls compared to the case of absence of vaccination. It is also proven that the endemic equilibrium point is not reachable if the disease-free one is stable and that the disease-free equilibrium point is unstable if the reproduction number exceeds unity while the endemic equilibrium point is stable. Several numerical results are investigated for both vaccination rules with the option of adapting through ime the corresponding efforts to the levels of susceptibility. Such simulation examples are performed under parameterizations related to the current SARS-COVID 19 pandemic.


Mathematics ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (12) ◽  
pp. 328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanli Ma ◽  
Jia-Bao Liu ◽  
Haixia Li

In this paper, an SIQR (Susceptible, Infected, Quarantined, Recovered) epidemic model with vaccination, elimination, and quarantine hybrid strategies is proposed, and the dynamics of this model are analyzed by both theoretical and numerical means. Firstly, the basic reproduction number R 0 , which determines whether the disease is extinct or not, is derived. Secondly, by LaSalles invariance principle, it is proved that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable when R 0 < 1 , and the disease dies out. By Routh-Hurwitz criterion theory, we also prove that the disease-free equilibrium is unstable and the unique endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable when R 0 > 1 . Thirdly, by constructing a suitable Lyapunov function, we obtain that the unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease persists at this endemic equilibrium if it initially exists when R 0 > 1 . Finally, some numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the analysis results.


2016 ◽  
Vol 09 (05) ◽  
pp. 1650068 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Altaf Khan ◽  
Yasir Khan ◽  
Sehra Khan ◽  
Saeed Islam

This study considers SEIVR epidemic model with generalized nonlinear saturated incidence rate in the host population horizontally to estimate local and global equilibriums. By using the Routh–Hurwitz criteria, it is shown that if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable. When the basic reproduction number exceeds the unity, then the endemic equilibrium exists and is stable locally asymptotically. The system is globally asymptotically stable about the disease-free equilibrium if [Formula: see text]. The geometric approach is used to present the global stability of the endemic equilibrium. For [Formula: see text], the endemic equilibrium is stable globally asymptotically. Finally, the numerical results are presented to justify the mathematical results.


2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 74
Author(s):  
Roni Tri Putra ◽  
Sukatik - ◽  
Sri Nita

In this paper, it will be studied local stability of equilibrium points of  a SEIR epidemic model with infectious force in latent, infected and immune period. From the model it will be found investigated the existence and its stability of points its equilibrium by Hurwitz matrices. The local stability of equilibrium points is depending on the value of the basic reproduction number  If   the disease free equilibrium is local asymptotically stable.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
El Mehdi Lotfi ◽  
Mehdi Maziane ◽  
Khalid Hattaf ◽  
Noura Yousfi

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of a reaction-diffusion SIR epidemic model with specific nonlinear incidence rate. The global existence, positivity, and boundedness of solutions for a reaction-diffusion system with homogeneous Neumann boundary conditions are proved. The local stability of the disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is obtained via characteristic equations. By means of Lyapunov functional, the global stability of both equilibria is investigated. More precisely, our results show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than or equal to unity, which leads to the eradication of disease from population. When the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, then disease-free equilibrium becomes unstable and the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; in this case the disease persists in the population. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate our theoretical results.


2014 ◽  
Vol 07 (04) ◽  
pp. 1450041
Author(s):  
Jinhu Xu ◽  
Wenxiong Xu ◽  
Yicang Zhou

A delayed SEIR epidemic model with vertical transmission and non-monotonic incidence is formulated. The equilibria and the threshold of the model have been determined on the bases of the basic reproduction number. The local stability of disease-free equilibrium and endemic equilibrium is established by analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations. By comparison arguments, it is proved that, if R0 < 1, the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. Whereas, the disease-free equilibrium is unstable if R0 > 1. Moreover, we show that the disease is permanent if the basic reproduction number is greater than one. Furthermore, the sufficient conditions are obtained for the global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium when R0 > 1.


2015 ◽  
Vol 08 (06) ◽  
pp. 1550082 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Altaf Khan ◽  
Yasir Khan ◽  
Qaiser Badshah ◽  
Saeed Islam

In this paper, an SEIVR epidemic model with generalized incidence and preventive vaccination is considered. First, we formulate the model and obtain its basic properties. Then, we find the equilibrium points of the model, the disease-free and the endemic equilibrium. The stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium is associated with the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text]. If the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease-free equilibrium is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable. Moreover, if the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text], the disease is uniformly persistent and the unique endemic equilibrium of the system is locally as well as globally asymptotically stable under certain conditions. Finally, the numerical results justify the analytical results.


2013 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 250-263 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rui Xu

A mathematical model describing the transmission dynamics of an infectious disease with an exposed (latent) period, relapse and a saturation incidence rate is investigated. By analyzing the corresponding characteristic equations, the local stability of a disease-free equilibrium and an endemic equilibrium is established. By using suitable Lyapunov functionals and LaSalle’s invariance principle, it is proven that if the basic reproduction number is less than unity, the diseasefree equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and therefore the disease fades out; and if the basic reproduction number is greater than unity, the endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable and the disease becomes endemic.


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