scholarly journals A Comparison of Survival Models for Prediction of Eight-year Revision Risk Following Total Knee and Hip Arthroplasty

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alana R Cuthbert ◽  
Lynne C Giles ◽  
Gary Glonek ◽  
Lisa M Kalisch Ellett ◽  
Nicole L Pratt
Keyword(s):  
Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Cox Model ◽  
Parametric Model ◽  
Variable Importance ◽  
Survival Models ◽  
Opioid Use ◽  
Total Knee ◽  
Random Survival Forest ◽  
Modelling Approaches

Abstract BackgroundThere is increasing interest in the development and use of clinical prediction models, but a lack of evidence-supported guidance on the merits of different modelling approaches. This is especially true for time-to-event outcomes, where limited studies have compared the vast number of modelling approaches available. This study compares prediction accuracy and variable importance measures for four modelling approaches in prediction of time-to-revision surgery following total knee arthroplasty (TKA) and total hip arthroplasty (THA). Methods The study included 321 945 TKA and 151 113 THA procedures performed between 1 January 2003 and 31 December 2017. Accuracy of the Cox model, Weibull parametric model, flexible parametric model, and random survival forest were compared, with patient age, sex, comorbidities, and prosthesis characteristics considered as predictors. Prediction accuracy was assessed using the Index of Prediction Accuracy (IPA), c-index, and smoothed calibration curves. Variable importance rankings from the Cox model and random survival forest were also compared. ResultsOverall, the Cox and flexible parametric survival models performed best for prediction of both TKA (integrated IPA 0.056 (95% CI [0.054, 0.057]) compared to 0.054 (95% CI [0.053, 0.056]) for the Weibull parametric model), and THA revision. (0.029 95% CI [0.027, 0.030] compared to 0.027 (95% CI [0.025, 0.028]) for the random survival forest). The c-index showed broadly similar discrimination between all modelling approaches. Models were generally well calibrated, but random survival forest underfitted the predicted risk of TKA revision compared to regression approaches. The most important predictors of revision were similar in the Cox model and random survival forest for TKA (age, opioid use, and patella resurfacing) and THA (femoral cement, depression, and opioid use). ConclusionThe Cox and flexible parametric models had superior overall performance, although all approaches performed similarly. Notably, this study showed no benefit of a tuned random survival forest over regression models in this setting.

Opioid Use and Appropriateness of Supply After Total Knee or Hip Arthroplasty: An Australian Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 28 (23) ◽  
pp. e980-e989 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Tran ◽  
Jacinta Castello ◽  
Simone E. Taylor ◽  
Andrew Hardidge ◽  
Shakara Cannizzaro ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Opioid Use ◽  
Total Knee

scholarly journals Trends and predictors of opioid use after total knee and total hip arthroplasty

Pain ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 157 (6) ◽  
pp. 1259-1265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenna Goesling ◽  
Stephanie E. Moser ◽  
Bilal Zaidi ◽  
Afton L. Hassett ◽  
Paul Hilliard ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Total Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Opioid Use ◽  
Total Hip ◽  
Total Knee

scholarly journals Persistent postoperative opioid use after total hip or knee arthroplasty: A systematic review and meta-analysis

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Ping Tay ◽  
Xinyi Wang ◽  
Sujita W Narayan ◽  
Jonathan Penm ◽  
Asad E Patanwala
Keyword(s):  
Systematic Review ◽  
Total Knee Arthroplasty ◽  
Total Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Knee Arthroplasty ◽  
Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Cochrane Central Register ◽  
Opioid Use ◽  
Total Hip ◽  
Total Knee

Abstract Disclaimer In an effort to expedite the publication of articles related to the COVID-19 pandemic, AJHP is posting these manuscripts online as soon as possible after acceptance. Accepted manuscripts have been peer-reviewed and copyedited, but are posted online before technical formatting and author proofing. These manuscripts are not the final version of record and will be replaced with the final article (formatted per AJHP style and proofed by the authors) at a later time. Purpose To identify the proportion of patients with continued opioid use after total hip or knee arthroplasty. Methods This systematic review and meta-analysis searched Embase, MEDLINE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and International Pharmaceutical Abstracts for articles published from January 1, 2009, to May 26, 2021. The search terms (opioid, postoperative, hospital discharge, total hip or knee arthroplasty, and treatment duration) were based on 5 key concepts. We included studies of adults who underwent total hip or knee arthroplasty, with at least 3 months postoperative follow-up. Results There were 30 studies included. Of these, 17 reported on outcomes of total hip arthroplasty and 19 reported on outcomes of total knee arthroplasty, with some reporting on outcomes of both procedures. In patients having total hip arthroplasty, rates of postoperative opioid use at various time points were as follows: at 3 months, 20% (95% CI, 13%-26%); at 6 months, 17% (95% CI, 12%-21%); at 9 months, 19% (95% CI, 13%-24%); and at 12 months, 16% (95% CI, 15%-16%). In patients who underwent total knee arthroplasty, rates of postoperative opioid use were as follows: at 3 months, 26% (95% CI, 19%-33%); at 6 months, 20% (95% CI, 17%-24%); at 9 months, 23% (95% CI, 17%-28%); and at 12 months, 21% (95% CI, 12%-29%). Opioid naïve patients were less likely to have continued postoperative opioid use than those who were opioid tolerant preoperatively. Conclusion Over 1 in 5 patients continued opioid use for longer than 3 months after total hip or knee arthroplasty. Clinicians should be aware of this trajectory of opioid consumption after surgery.

A Comparative Analysis of Patient Satisfaction following Total Knee Arthroplasty and Total Hip Arthroplasty Using the Forgotten Joint Score

2020 ◽  
Vol 04 (02) ◽  
pp. 084-089
Author(s):  
Vivek Singh ◽  
Stephen Zak ◽  
Ran Schwarzkopf ◽  
Roy Davidovitch
Keyword(s):  
Total Knee Arthroplasty ◽  
Patient Satisfaction ◽  
Total Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Knee Arthroplasty ◽  
Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Demographic Data ◽  
Demographic Differences ◽  
Total Hip ◽  
Forgotten Joint Score ◽  
Total Knee

AbstractMeasuring patient satisfaction and surgical outcomes following total joint arthroplasty remains controversial with most tools failing to account for both surgeon and patient satisfaction in regard to outcomes. The purpose of this study was to use “The Forgotten Joint Score” questionnaire to assess clinical outcomes comparing patients who underwent a total hip arthroplasty (THA) with those who underwent a total knee arthroplasty (TKA). We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent primary THA or TKA between September 2016 and September 2019 and responded to the Forgotten Joint Score-12 (FJS-12) questionnaire at least at one of three time periods (3, 12, and 21 months), postoperatively. An electronic patient rehabilitation application was used to administer the questionnaire. Collected variables included demographic data (age, gender, race, body mass index [BMI], and smoking status), length of stay (LOS), and FJS-12 scores. t-test and chi-square were used to determine significance. Linear regression was used to account for demographic differences. A p-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Of the 2,359 patients included in this study, 1,469 underwent a THA and 890 underwent a TKA. Demographic differences were observed between the two groups with the TKA group being older, with higher BMI, higher American Society of Anesthesiologists scores, and longer LOS. Accounting for the differences in demographic data, THA patients consistently had higher scores at 3 months (53.72 vs. 24.96; p < 0.001), 12 months (66.00 vs. 43.57; p < 0.001), and 21 months (73.45 vs. 47.22; p < 0.001). FJS-12 scores for patients that underwent THA were significantly higher in comparison to TKA patients at 3, 12, and 21 months postoperatively. Increasing patient age led to a marginal increase in FJS-12 score in both cohorts. With higher FJS-12 scores, patients who underwent THA may experience a more positive evolution with their surgery postoperatively than those who had TKA.

Total Knee Arthroplasty after Previous Ipsilateral Hip Arthroplasty Showed Lower Clinical Outcomes and Higher Leg Length Discrepancy Perception

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han-Jun Lee ◽  
Seong Hwan Kim ◽  
Nicolas Pujol ◽  
Yong-Beom Park
Keyword(s):  
Clinical Outcomes ◽  
Hip Arthroplasty ◽  
Leg Length ◽  
Function Score ◽  
Patient’S Satisfaction ◽  
Length Discrepancy ◽  
Total Knee ◽  
Group 2 ◽  
Ks Function ◽  
Group 1

AbstractThe purpose of this study is to compare perception of leg length discrepancy (LLD) and clinical results of total knee arthroplasties (TKA) in patients with or without previous ipsilateral hip arthroplasty. Between 2008 and 2015, navigation-assisted TKA was performed in 43 patients with previous hip arthroplasty after hip fracture. After 1:3 propensity score matching was performed, 108 patients of primary navigation-assisted TKA (group 1) and 36 patients with hip arthroplasty (group 2) were included. Knee Society (KS) scores, Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Index (WOMAC) scores, and patients' satisfaction including perception of LLD were evaluated. Radiographic evaluation included mechanical axis, component position, and LLD. Logistic regression analysis was performed to find the factors that affect the clinical outcomes. No significant differences in radiologic and clinical evaluations, except for KS function score, patient's satisfaction and LLD (p< 0.001), were detected between the groups. LLD and its perception were significantly higher in group 2 (1.8 ± 3.4 mm in group 1 and 9.7 ± 4.1 mm in group 2, p = 0.000). Risk factors for the low KS function score were found as LLD (odds ratio [OR]: 1.403, p = 0.008) and previous hip arthroplasty itself (OR: 15.755, p = 0.002), but much higher OR was found in previous hip arthroplasty. Although the outcomes of TKA in patients with ipsilateral hip arthroplasty are comparable to those of primary TKA, LLD was high and patient's satisfaction and functional outcomes were low in patients with previous ipsilateral hip arthroplasty. Care should be taken when considering TKA in patients with previous hip arthroplasty. This is a Level III, case control study.

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