Implied Liquidity Risk Premium in the Term Structure of Sovereign Credit Default Swap and Bond Spreads

Author(s):  
Saad Badaoui ◽  
Lara Cathcart ◽  
Lina El-Jahel





2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 466-488
Author(s):  
Ioannis A. Tampakoudis ◽  
Andrius Tamošiūnas ◽  
Demetres N. Subeniotis ◽  
Ioannis G. Kroustalis

This study provides a dynamic analysis of the lead-lag relationship between sovereign Credit Default Swap (CDS) and bond spreads of the highly indebted southern European countries, considering an extensive time sample from the period before the global financial crisis to the latest developments of the sovereign indebtedness in the euro area. We employ an integrated price discovery methodology on a rolling sample, with the intention to shed light on whether the CDS spreads can trigger rises in bond spreads, and the relative efficiency of credit risk pricing in the CDS and bond markets. In addition, we attempt to depict the evolution of the price discovery process regarding the direction of influence from one market to the other. The rolling window analysis verifies that the price discovery process evolves over time, presenting frequent alternations concerning the leading market. We find that during periods of economic turbulence the CDS market leads the bond market in price discovery, incorporating the new information about sovereign credit risk faster and more efficiently than the bond market does. This regularity should be seriously considered by private and public participants as they make investment and funding decisions. Therefore, the motivation of our paper is to identify the dominant market in terms of price discovery during a period of economic turmoil and, thus, to provide insights for decision making to investment bodies and central governments.



2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (3/4) ◽  
pp. 268 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ioannis A. Tampakoudis ◽  
Demetres N. Subeniotis ◽  
Ioannis G. Kroustalis


2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 71-99 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenny Castellanos ◽  
Nick Constantinou ◽  
Wing Lon Ng


2015 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 58-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Berg ◽  
Daniel Streitz


Author(s):  
Benjamin Junge ◽  
Anders B. Trolle


Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Min Lu ◽  
Michele Passariello ◽  
Xing Wang

We assess the efficiency of the sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market by investigating how sovereign CDS spreads react to macroeconomic news announcements. Contrary to the vast majority of the existing literature, one of our main findings supports the hypothesis that news announcements reduce market uncertainty and, thus, that both better- and worse-than-expected news lower CDS prices during our sample period. In addition, we find that CDS spreads respond differently to the four macroindicators across the three different regions. Our findings might help investors in these areas to interpret the surprises of macronews announcements when making decisions in CDS markets.



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