Spanish Mutual Funds: Short-Term Performance and Market Timing

Author(s):  
Javier Vidal-Garcca
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 40-62
Author(s):  
Drosos Koutsokostas ◽  
Spyros Papathanasiou ◽  
Nikolaos Eriotis

The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of Greek equity mutual funds, elaborating on stock selection in parallel with market timing measures, in comparison with the performance of ETFs and index funds for the period 01/24/2008-05/12/2017, and the short-term performance persistence of actively managed funds for the period 05/12/2015-05/12/2017. Using all domestic equity mutual funds at our disposal and daily data, the authors apply multi-factor models to estimate risk-adjusted returns and to evaluate the selectivity and market timing ability of fund managers. In order to investigate short-term performance persistence, the coexistence of stock selection and market timing strategy is allowed and a battery of parametric and nonparametric tests is implemented. Results show that actively managed mutual funds underperformed the market index, as well as passively managed ETFs and index funds, primarily due to the managers’ inability to time the market. Furthermore, a winner-picking strategy to outperform a-buy-the-market-and hold policy is questioned.


2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (7) ◽  
pp. 812-827 ◽  
Author(s):  
Drosos Koutsokostas ◽  
Spyros Papathanasiou

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the performance of Greek equity mutual funds for the period 2012-2016, analyzing further the selectivity and market timing ability, and short-term performance persistence for the period 2015-2016. Design/methodology/approach Utilizing a survivorship-bias-controlled sample of 25 funds and daily data, the authors use single-index (Jensen, 1968) and multi-factor (Carhart, 1997) models to evaluate risk-adjusted returns using the General Index of Athens Stock Exchange as a benchmark. The Treynor-Mazuy (1966) and Henriksson-Merton (1981) models are used to assess the stock selection and market timing abilities of fund managers. In order to investigate short-term performance persistence, the authors implement a variety of parametric (Bollen and Busse, 2005) and nonparametric tests (Malkiel, 1995; Brown and Goetzmann, 1995; Kahn and Rudd, 1995). Findings Results show that the funds underperformed the General Index, mainly due to the managers’ market timing inability. Furthermore, weak evidence for short-term performance persistence has been documented. Research limitations/implications Checking for performance persistence, it was impossible to rank funds and form deciles according to their estimated abnormal returns, as in Bollen and Busse (2005), due to the small number of mutual funds operating in Greece. Originality/value Empirical studies regarding the performance of Greek equity mutual funds are still limited. Therefore, this paper intends to fill this gap by providing further evidence of performance evaluation.


Author(s):  
Imad L. Al-Qadi ◽  
Zhen Leng ◽  
Jongeun Baek ◽  
Hao Wang ◽  
Matthew Doyen ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Vol 43 (6) ◽  
pp. 340-345 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennie Diec ◽  
Daniel Tilia ◽  
Thomas Naduvilath ◽  
Ravi C. Bakaraju

2015 ◽  
Vol 4 (S1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Panagiotis Gkrilias ◽  
Athanasios Zavvos ◽  
Niki Manolaki ◽  
Nikolaos Geladas ◽  
Maria Koskolou ◽  
...  
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