scholarly journals Probability of the average monthly wind speed in Mossoró-RN, Brazil, through the probability density function of beta distribution

Author(s):  
Janilson Pinheiro de Assis ◽  
Roberto pequeno de Sousa ◽  
Paulo César Ferreira Linhares ◽  
Eudes de Almeida Cardoso ◽  
José Roberto de Sá ◽  
...  
2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 8-15
Author(s):  
J.A. Oyewole ◽  
F.O. Aweda ◽  
D. Oni

There is a crucial need in Nigeria to enhance the development of wind technology in order to boost our energy supply. Adequate knowledge about the wind speed distribution becomes very essential in the establishment of Wind Energy Conversion Systems (WECS). Weibull Probability Density Function (PDF) with two parameters is widely accepted and is commonly used for modelling, characterizing and predicting wind resource and wind power, as well as assessing optimum performance of WECS. Therefore, it is paramount to precisely estimate the scale and shape parameters for all regions or sites of interest. Here, wind data from year 2000 to 2010 for four different locations (Port Harcourt, Ikeja, Kano and Jos) were analysed and the Weibull parameters was determined. The three methods employed are Mean Standard Deviation Method (MSDM), Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM) and Method of Moments (MOM) for estimating Weibull parameters. The method that gave the most accurate estimation of the wind speed was MSDM method, while Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM) is the most reliable and consistent method for estimating probability density function of wind. Keywords: Weibull Distribution, Method of Moment, Mean Standard Deviation Method, Energy Pattern Method


2019 ◽  
Vol 892 ◽  
pp. 284-291
Author(s):  
Ahmed S.A. Badawi ◽  
Nurul Fadzlin Hasbullah ◽  
Siti Hajar Yusoff ◽  
Sheroz Khan ◽  
Aisha Hashim ◽  
...  

The need of clean and renewable energy, as well as the power shortage in Gaza strip with few wind energy studies conducted in Palestine, provide the importance of this paper. Probability density function is commonly used to represent wind speed frequency distributions for the evaluation of wind energy potential in a specific area. This study shows the analysis of the climatology of the wind profile over the State of Palestine; the selections of the suitable probability density function decrease the wind power estimation error percentage. A selection of probability density function is used to model average daily wind speed data recorded at for 10 years in Gaza strip. Weibull probability distribution function has been estimated for Gaza based on average wind speed for 10 years. This assessment is done by analyzing wind data using Weibull probability function to find out the characteristics of wind energy conversion. The wind speed data measured from January 1996 to December 2005 in Gaza is used as a sample of actual data to this study. The main aim is to use the Weibull representative wind data for Gaza strip to show how statistical model for Gaza Strip over ten years. Weibull parameters determine by author depend on the pervious study using seven numerical methods, Weibull shape factor parameter is 1.7848, scale factor parameter is 4.3642 ms-1, average wind speed for Gaza strip based on 10 years actual data is 2.95 ms-1 per a day so the behavior of wind velocity based on probability density function show that we can produce energy in Gaza strip.


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