scholarly journals THE PROBABILITY DENSITY FUNCTION FOR WIND SPEED USING MODIFIED WEIBULL DISTRIBUTION

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 544-550
Author(s):  
Suwarno Suwarno ◽  
M. Fitra Zambak
2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 8-15
Author(s):  
J.A. Oyewole ◽  
F.O. Aweda ◽  
D. Oni

There is a crucial need in Nigeria to enhance the development of wind technology in order to boost our energy supply. Adequate knowledge about the wind speed distribution becomes very essential in the establishment of Wind Energy Conversion Systems (WECS). Weibull Probability Density Function (PDF) with two parameters is widely accepted and is commonly used for modelling, characterizing and predicting wind resource and wind power, as well as assessing optimum performance of WECS. Therefore, it is paramount to precisely estimate the scale and shape parameters for all regions or sites of interest. Here, wind data from year 2000 to 2010 for four different locations (Port Harcourt, Ikeja, Kano and Jos) were analysed and the Weibull parameters was determined. The three methods employed are Mean Standard Deviation Method (MSDM), Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM) and Method of Moments (MOM) for estimating Weibull parameters. The method that gave the most accurate estimation of the wind speed was MSDM method, while Energy Pattern Factor Method (EPFM) is the most reliable and consistent method for estimating probability density function of wind. Keywords: Weibull Distribution, Method of Moment, Mean Standard Deviation Method, Energy Pattern Method


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emrah Dokur ◽  
Salim Ceyhan ◽  
Mehmet Kurban

To construct the geometry in nonflat spaces in order to understand nature has great importance in terms of applied science. Finsler geometry allows accurate modeling and describing ability for asymmetric structures in this application area. In this paper, two-dimensional Finsler space metric function is obtained for Weibull distribution which is used in many applications in this area such as wind speed modeling. The metric definition for two-parameter Weibull probability density function which has shape (k) and scale (c) parameters in two-dimensional Finsler space is realized using a different approach by Finsler geometry. In addition, new probability and cumulative probability density functions based on Finsler geometry are proposed which can be used in many real world applications. For future studies, it is aimed at proposing more accurate models by using this novel approach than the models which have two-parameter Weibull probability density function, especially used for determination of wind energy potential of a region.


1978 ◽  
Vol 1 (16) ◽  
pp. 33 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theodore T. Lee ◽  
Kerry P. Black

The transformation of waves crossing a coral reef in Hawaii including the probability density function of the wave heights and periods and the shape of the spectrum is discussed. The energy attenuation and the change of height and period statistics is examined using spectral analysis and the zero up-crossing procedure. Measurements of waves at seven points along a 1650 ft transect in depths from 1 to 3.5 ft on the reef and 35 ft offshore were made. The heights were tested for Rayleigh, truncated Rayleigh and Wei bull distributions. A symmetrical distribution presented by Longuet-Higgins (1975) and the Weibull distribution were compared to the wave period density function. In both cases the Weibull probability density function fitted with a high degree of correlation. Simple procedures to obtain Weibull coefficients are given. Fourier spectra were generated and contours of cumulative energy against each position on the reef show the shifting of energy from the peak as the waves move into shallow water. A design spectrum, with the shape of the Weibull distribution, is presented with procedures given to obtain the coefficients which govern the distribution peakedness. Normalized non-dimensional frequency and period spectra were recommended for engineering applications for both reef and offshore locations. A zero up-crossing spectrum (ZUS) constructed from the zero upcrossing heights and periods is defined and compared with the Fourier spectrum. Also discussed are the benefits and disadvantages of the ZUS, particularly for non-linear wave environments in shallow water. Both the ZUS and Fourier spectra are used to test the adequacy of formulae which estimate individual wave parameters. Cross spectra analysis was made to obtain gain function and squared coherency for time series between two adjacent positions. It was found that the squared coherency is close to unity near the peak frequency. This means that the output time series can be predicted from the input by applying the gain function. However, the squared coherency was extremely small for other frequencies above 0.25 H2.


Author(s):  
Zheying Guo ◽  
Raffaella De Vita

A new constitutive equation is presented to describe the damage evolution process in parallel fibered collagenous tissues such as ligaments and tendons. The model is formulated by accounting for the fibrous structure of the tissues. The tissue’s stress is defined as the average of the collagen fiber’s stresses. The fibers are assumed to be undulated and straighten out at different stretches that are defined by a Weibull probability density function. After becoming straight each fiber is assumed to be linear elastic. Its waviness is defined by a Weibull distribution. Tissue’s damage is assumed to occur at the fiber level and is defined as a reduction in the fiber’s stiffness. The proposed model is validated by using experimental data published in the biomechanics literature by Provenzano et al. [1].


2019 ◽  
Vol 892 ◽  
pp. 284-291
Author(s):  
Ahmed S.A. Badawi ◽  
Nurul Fadzlin Hasbullah ◽  
Siti Hajar Yusoff ◽  
Sheroz Khan ◽  
Aisha Hashim ◽  
...  

The need of clean and renewable energy, as well as the power shortage in Gaza strip with few wind energy studies conducted in Palestine, provide the importance of this paper. Probability density function is commonly used to represent wind speed frequency distributions for the evaluation of wind energy potential in a specific area. This study shows the analysis of the climatology of the wind profile over the State of Palestine; the selections of the suitable probability density function decrease the wind power estimation error percentage. A selection of probability density function is used to model average daily wind speed data recorded at for 10 years in Gaza strip. Weibull probability distribution function has been estimated for Gaza based on average wind speed for 10 years. This assessment is done by analyzing wind data using Weibull probability function to find out the characteristics of wind energy conversion. The wind speed data measured from January 1996 to December 2005 in Gaza is used as a sample of actual data to this study. The main aim is to use the Weibull representative wind data for Gaza strip to show how statistical model for Gaza Strip over ten years. Weibull parameters determine by author depend on the pervious study using seven numerical methods, Weibull shape factor parameter is 1.7848, scale factor parameter is 4.3642 ms-1, average wind speed for Gaza strip based on 10 years actual data is 2.95 ms-1 per a day so the behavior of wind velocity based on probability density function show that we can produce energy in Gaza strip.


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