Limit theorems for the total size of a spatial epidemic

1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 698-710 ◽  
Author(s):  
Håkan Andersson ◽  
Boualem Djehiche

We study the long-term behaviour of a sequence of multitype general stochastic epidemics, converging in probability to a deterministic spatial epidemic model, proposed by D. G. Kendall. More precisely, we use branching and deterministic approximations in order to study the asymptotic behaviour of the total size of the epidemics as the number of types and the number of individuals of each type both grow to infinity.

1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (03) ◽  
pp. 698-710
Author(s):  
Håkan Andersson ◽  
Boualem Djehiche

We study the long-term behaviour of a sequence of multitype general stochastic epidemics, converging in probability to a deterministic spatial epidemic model, proposed by D. G. Kendall. More precisely, we use branching and deterministic approximations in order to study the asymptotic behaviour of the total size of the epidemics as the number of types and the number of individuals of each type both grow to infinity.


2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 18-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. N. Startsev

A generalisation of the classical general stochastic epidemic within a closed, homogeneously mixing population is considered, in which the infectious periods of infectives follow i.i.d. random variables having an arbitrary but specified distribution. The asymptotic behaviour of the total size distribution for the epidemic as the initial numbers of susceptibles and infectives tend to infinity is investigated by generalising the construction of Sellke and reducing the problem to a boundary crossing problem for sums of independent random variables.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. e0168127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chiyori T. Urabe ◽  
Gouhei Tanaka ◽  
Kazuyuki Aihara ◽  
Masayasu Mimura

2009 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 1656-1685 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rick Durrett ◽  
Daniel Remenik

2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 18-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. N. Startsev

A generalisation of the classical general stochastic epidemic within a closed, homogeneously mixing population is considered, in which the infectious periods of infectives follow i.i.d. random variables having an arbitrary but specified distribution. The asymptotic behaviour of the total size distribution for the epidemic as the initial numbers of susceptibles and infectives tend to infinity is investigated by generalising the construction of Sellke and reducing the problem to a boundary crossing problem for sums of independent random variables.


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