Profiting from a Contrarian Application of Technical Trading Rules in the US Stock Market

CFA Digest ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 39 (4) ◽  
pp. 81-83
Author(s):  
Christopher J. Sullivan
2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 97-123 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nauzer Balsara ◽  
Jason Chen ◽  
Lin Zheng

2018 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 133-150
Author(s):  
Jose Miralles-Quiros ◽  
Maria Miralles-Quiros ◽  
Luis Gonçalves

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 67-76
Author(s):  
Muhammad Arif ◽  

This paper investigates the gainfulness of moving averages (MA) timing method over the purchase and hold procedure for single stocks deal in Pakistan Stock Exchange. We used (Han et al., 2013) approach of single stock returns and indeterminate evidence of MA timing methodology insightful ability to increase higher returns over the strategy of purchase and hold. In addition, we report market risk-adjusted returns to expel any market development impacts and apply elective moving averages lag lengths to check the robustness of our outcomes. We look at that individual stock returns are noisier than portfolio returns and the fundamental technical exchanging principle of moving average don't be able to anticipate single stock returns. We propose the utilization of more perplexing trading rules in future investigations to determine the gainfulness of technical trading rules in individual stocks.


Author(s):  
Massoud Metghalchi ◽  
Yong Glasure ◽  
Xavier Garza-Gomez ◽  
Chien Chen

Two moving average technical trading rules for the Austrian stock market are tested. Results indicate that moving average rules do indeed have predictive power and could discern recurring-price patterns for profitable trading. Results also support the hypothesis that technical trading rules can outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Break-even one-way trading costs are estimated to be between .61 and 2.36 %. These break-even costs are larger than recent estimates of actual trading costs, implying profitable trading rules for the Austrian stock market.


2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Massoud Metghalchi ◽  
Xavier Garza-Gomez ◽  
Yong Glasure ◽  
Yung-Ho Chang

<p class="MsoBodyText2" style="text-justify: inter-ideograph; text-align: justify; line-height: normal; margin: 0in 0.5in 0pt;"><span style="font-family: Times New Roman;"><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-weight: normal; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">This paper tests three moving average technical trading rules for the Mexican Stock Market. </span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-weight: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">Results indicate that moving average rules do indeed have predictive power and can discern recurring-price patterns for profitable trading and support the hypothesis that technical trading rules can outperform the buy-and-hold strategy. Break-even one-way trading costs are estimated to be</span><span style="font-size: 10pt; mso-bidi-font-weight: normal; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';"><strong> </strong></span><span style="font-size: 10pt; font-weight: normal; mso-bidi-font-weight: bold; mso-bidi-font-family: 'Times New Roman';">in the range of 1% to 3% over the period under consideration. These break-even costs, we believe, are large compared to recent estimates of actual trading costs, implying that moving average trading rules have predictive power and can generate consistent profits even after transaction costs are considered. </span></span></p>


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document