Speed-Profile Model for Two-Lane Rural Highways

Author(s):  
Kay Fitzpatrick ◽  
Jon M. Collins

Design consistency refers to highway geometry’s conformance with driver expectancy. Generally, drivers make fewer errors at geometric features that conform with their expectations. A proposed method for evaluating design consistency is to predict the speed along an alignment by using a speed-profile model. A speed-profile model was developed by using the following: speed prediction equations that calculate the expected speed at horizontal, vertical, or combination curves; assumed desired speed for the roadway; TWOPAS equations that determine the performance-limited speeds at every point; acceleration and deceleration rates; and several documented assumptions. The speed-profile model can be used to evaluate the design consistency of a facility or to generate a speed profile along an alignment. In conclusion, the speed-profile model developed appears to provide a suitable basis for the Interactive Highway Safety Design Model design consistency module.

2003 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 1055-1065 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said M Easa

The speed-profile model has been suggested as a valuable tool for evaluating geometric design consistency for two-lane rural highways with isolated and combined horizontal and vertical alignments. The model determines the operating speeds on the speed-change (SC) segment, which is the distance between speed-limiting curves. The speed-limiting curves are the horizontal curves and the limited sight-distance crest vertical curves on horizontal tangents, where the sight distance required by the design guides is not satisfied. The model assumes that deceleration begins where required, which implies that the next curve is visible when deceleration starts. This paper presents an extension to the speed-profile model to incorporate the effect of sight obstruction on operating speeds and deceleration rates. The SC segment may include nonlimited sight–distance crest vertical and sag vertical curves. These curves may present sight obstruction. A procedure to determine whether the sight line is obstructed is developed. If it does, simple formulas are applied for revising the operating-speed profile. The extended model is suitable for inclusion in the design consistency module of the interactive highway safety design model.Key words: speed profile, model, two-lane highways, alignments, design consistency.


2007 ◽  
Vol 34 (9) ◽  
pp. 1159-1168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Said M Easa ◽  
Atif Mehmood

Highway design consistency is one of the important criteria in selecting the geometric features of proposed or existing alignments of two-lane rural highways. Operating-speed (OS) profile models have been used to evaluate design consistency by trial and error. For a proposed new highway, however, there may be geometric and physical constraints, and selection of these elements by trial and error to achieve optimal design consistency would be difficult, if not impossible. This paper presents an optimization model that establishes highway horizontal alignment to achieve maximum design consistency based on the OS profile. The decision variables of the model include radius of horizontal curves, spiral curve lengths, length of speed-change (SC) segments, and acceleration and deceleration rates. The objective function of the model minimizes the mean OS difference or the maximum OS difference for successive geometric features along the highway section. Application examples and sensitivity analysis are presented to illustrate the capabilities of the model in evaluating improvement strategies and to ensure that the model produces sound optimum alignments. The proposed model, which complements existing optimization models that mainly address highway construction cost, should be of interest to highway practitioners and engineers.Key words: design consistency, highway, geometric, horizontal alignment, optimization modeling, speed profile.


Author(s):  
Kent M. Collins ◽  
Raymond A. Krammes

The validity of a speed-profile model for design consistency evaluation was tested, including (a) the speed reduction estimation ability of the model and (b) assumptions about deceleration and acceleration characteristics approaching and departing horizontal curves. Detailed speed data were collected at a sample of 10 horizontal tangent-curve sections on two-lane rural highways in Texas. The results indicate that the model provides a reasonable, albeit simplified, representation of speed profiles on horizontal alignments consisting of long tangents and isolated curves. The model provides reasonable estimates of speed reductions from long approach tangents to curves but does not account for the effect of nearby intersections on speeds. The results also indicate that the assumed 0.85 m/sec2 value is reasonable for deceleration rates approaching curves that require speed reductions but may overestimate acceleration rates departing curves. The model's assumptions that deceleration occurs entirely on the approach tangent and that speeds are constant throughout a curve were not confirmed by observed speed behavior. The observations that deceleration continues after entering a curve and that speed adjustments occur throughout a curve are indicators of the difficulty drivers experience in judging appropriate speeds through curves.


Author(s):  
Jeffery L. Ottesen ◽  
Raymond A. Krammes

A speed-profile model for estimating 85th percentile speeds along horizontal alignments of rural two-lane highways in the United States is documented. The model is an evaluation tool to check for speed consistency violations on alignments with design speeds less than 100 km/h (62.1 mph). The model was calibrated by using speed and geometry data collected for 138 horizontal curves and 78 approach tangents on 29 rural highways in 5 states. A preliminary evaluation suggests that the model provides reasonable estimates of the reductions in 85th percentile speeds from an approach tangent to a horizontal curve.


Author(s):  
Alfonso Montella ◽  
Francesco Galante ◽  
Filomena Mauriello ◽  
Massimo Aria

To improve highway design consistency, several studies developed operating speed prediction models and investigated drivers' speed behavior. Most existing models are based on spot speed data that assume constant operating speed throughout the horizontal curves and occurrence of acceleration and deceleration only on tangents. To overcome limitations associated with existing models, this study investigated continuous speed profiles with an experiment that used a high-fidelity dynamic-driving simulator on a two-lane highway. A piecewise linear regression model and locally weighted regression scatter-plot smoothing were used to remove noise in the data set while preserving underlying patterns and to identify significant changes in the speed profile. Based on the smoothed speed profiles, models to predict operating speed in curves and in tangents, deceleration and acceleration rates to be used in the operating speed profiles, and starting and ending points of constant operating speed in curve were developed. Radius of the curve notably affected not only the operating speed in the curve but also the operating speed of the tangent following the curve: the smaller the radius, the lower the operating speed of the exit tangent. Both acceleration and deceleration rates increased with curvature. This study found that operating speed was not constant along curves. On small radius curves, deceleration ended close to the center of the curve, and acceleration starts, close to the end of the curve. Increasing the curve radius, the end point of deceleration moves toward the curve's beginning, whereas the start of acceleration moves toward the center of the curve.


Author(s):  
John McFadden ◽  
Lily Elefteriadou

Design consistency refers to the condition wherein the roadway geometry does not violate driver expectations. Operating-speed profile models are used to evaluate the consistency of a design by identifying locations with large speed variability between successive design elements. There is a direct correlation between safety and variability in speeds. Recent operating-speed models predict the 85th percentile speeds on horizontal curves and compare this value with the expected 85th percentile speed on the approach tangent. There is a direct correlation between speed variability between successive design elements and crash rates. Eighty-fifth percentile speeds, however, do not necessarily represent the speed reductions experienced by drivers. The primary objective of the research was to assess the efficacy of the use of 85th percentile speed by operating-speed profile models to evaluate the consistency of a design. Speed data were collected at 21 horizontal curve sites. These data were used to evaluate the implication of using 85th percentile speed for evaluating design consistency. A new parameter was investigated for analyzing design consistency: the 85th percentile maximum reduction in speed (85MSR). This parameter is calculated by using each driver’s speed profile from an approach tangent through a horizontal curve and determining the maximum speed reduction each driver experiences. These maximum speed reductions are sorted, and the 85th percentile value becomes the statistic of interest, or 85MSR. 85MSR was compared with the difference in 85th percentile speeds (85S), and it was found that 85MSR is significantly larger than 85S. The data showed that, on average, 85MSR is approximately two times larger than 85S. Models were developed that predict 85MSR as a function of geometric design elements, and these models could be used to complement existing operating-speed models.


Author(s):  
William H. Levison

The Federal Highway Administration has undertaken a multiyear project to develop the Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM), which is a set of software tools to analyze candidate highway geometric designs from a safety standpoint. The IHSDM is envisioned to contain five analysis tools or “modules”: (1) policy review, (2) design consistency, (3) accident analysis, (4) traffic analysis, and (5) driver/vehicle analysis. The structure of the driver/vehicle module is reviewed, with emphasis on the driver component. Modeling issues regarding decision and control are discussed. Major issues include (1) perceptual and decision processes in planning speed and path profiles during curve approach and curve negotiation, and (2) nonlinear versus linear aspects of control.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-17
Author(s):  
Vinayak Malaghan ◽  
Digvijay S. Pawar ◽  
Hussein Dia

Several past studies developed acceleration/deceleration rate models as a function of a single explanatory variable. Most of them were spot speed studies with speeds measured at specific locations on curves (usually midpoint of the curve) and tangents to determine acceleration and deceleration rates. Fewer studies adopted an estimated value of 0.85 m/s2 for both deceleration and acceleration rates while approaching and departing curves, respectively. In this study, instrumented vehicles with a high-end GPS (global positioning system) device were used to collect the continuous speed profile data for two-lane rural highways. The speed profiles were used to locate the speeds at the beginning and end of deceleration/acceleration on the successive road geometric elements to calculate the deceleration/acceleration rate. The influence of different geometric design variables on the acceleration/deceleration rate was analysed to develop regression models. This study also inspeced the assumption of constant operating speed on the horizontal curve. The study results indicated that mean operating speeds measured at the point of curvature (PC) or point of tangency (PT), the midpoint of curve (MC), and the end of deceleration in curve were statistically different. Acceleration/deceleration rates as a function of different geometric variables improved the accuracy of models. This was evident from model validation and comparison with existing models in the literature. The results of this study highlight the significance of using continuous speed profile data to locate the beginning and end of deceleration/acceleration and considering different geometric variables to calibrate acceleration/deceleration rate models.


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