Energy big data demand prediction model based on fuzzy rough set

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (4) ◽  
pp. 5291-5300
Author(s):  
Zhimei Duan ◽  
Xiaojin Yuan ◽  
Rongfei Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Big Data ◽  
Prediction Model ◽  
Rough Set ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Energy Structure ◽  
Attribute Importance ◽  
Fuzzy Rough Set ◽  
Demand Prediction ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Short Period

Energy is an indispensable material resource for human production and life. It is a powerful engine and an important guarantee for human survival, economic and social sustainable development and world change. The economy is developing rapidly, the demand for energy continues to grow, energy consumption has increased sharply in a short period, and the security of energy supply and demand has also shown a severe trend. Predicting energy demand is especially important. However, due to the many influencing factors and the lack of energy data, the energy demand prediction has great uncertainty in the prediction results. Because of the above problems, this paper proposes an energy big data demand prediction model based on a fuzzy rough set model. Firstly, according to the data, the factors affecting the energy demand are determined, and the fuzzy C-means clustering algorithm is used to discretize the data according to the characteristics of the fuzzy rough set. Then the decision table is established and the attribute importance is calculated, and then the neighborhood rough set is used for attribute reduction. Then extract the correlation rules to establish a prediction model. Compare the prediction model proposed in this paper with the existing gray prediction method and energy elasticity coefficient method. The results show that this method can more scientifically predict the changes in energy big data demand. Finally, based on the experimental results, the corresponding strategies for optimizing the energy structure are proposed to provide reference for the optimization and development of energy demand.

scholarly journals Traffic Flow Prediction with Relevance Vector Machine

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
W.-Z. Xiong ◽  
X.-M. Shen ◽  
H.-J. Li ◽  
Z. Shen
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Sequence Data ◽  
Machine Method ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Correlation Vector ◽  
Model Based ◽  
Flow Prediction ◽  
Short Period

Abstract Real-time prediction of traffic flow values in a short period of time is an importantelement in building a traffic management system. The uncertainty, complexity andnonlinearity of traffic flow data make it difficult to predict traffic flow in real time,and the accurate traffic flow prediction has been an urgent problem in the industry.Based on the research of scholars, a traffic flow prediction model based on thecorrelation vector machine method is constructed. The prediction accuracy of thecorrelation vector machine is better than that of the logistic regression and supportvector machine methods, and the correlation vector machine method has the functionof generating prediction error range for the actual traffic sequence data. Theprediction results are very satisfactory, and the prediction speed is significantlyfaster than the other two models, which meets the requirement of real-time trafficflow prediction and is suitable for real-time online prediction, and the predictionaccuracy of the used method is relatively high. The three-way comparison analysisshows that the traffic flow prediction by the correlation vector machine methodcan describe the nonlinear characteristics of traffic flow change more accurately,and the model performance and real-time performance are better. The case studyshows that the traffic flow prediction model based on the correlation vector machinecan improve the speed and accuracy of prediction, which is very suitablefor traffic flow prediction estimation with real-time requirements, and provides ascientific method for real-time traffic flow measurement.

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