scholarly journals Szoki polityki fiskalnej i monetarnej jako przedmiot badań makroekonomii gospodarki otwartej

Author(s):  
Agnieszka Domańska

The aim of this study is to present selected aspects of fiscal and monetary policy shocks as the subject of studies of open economy macroeconomics. The study concentrates on the development of the model presentation (evolution of the research method) in description of fiscal and monetary policy shocks, with a focus on the modern quantitative approach. At present the modern approach to the research on fiscal and monetary policy shocks is based on advanced methods of data analyzing, such as autoregressive models (VAR), or stochastic dynamic general equilibrium models (DSGE)

2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (4) ◽  
pp. 37-65
Author(s):  
M.Ye. Mamonov ◽  
◽  
A.A. Pestova ◽  
◽  

In this paper, we compare the transmission of monetary policy shocks using quarterly data for 13 emerging market economies (EMEs) with that in a benchmark advanced open economy, the United Kingdom, in the periods of inflation targeting (from 1990s onward). To estimate the transmission within a given country, we specify a monetary VAR-model and we extend it with a variable reflecting commodities terms of trade. We identify monetary policy shocks using a sign restriction scheme: a restrictive shock is determined as an unexpected rise of policy rate and reduction of inflation (CPI) and money demand (M2). We apply the Bayesian approach to estimating VARs to address the curse of dimensionality. Our results indicate that monetary policy in EMEs is not less efficient comparable to the U.K.: restrictive monetary shocks decrease inflation but also lead to a slowdown of GDP and stock market outflows. Overall, our findings add to the debate on the real effects of monetary policy surprises with a special attention to a large set of EMEs.


2010 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 649-667 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Hakan Berument ◽  
Selahattin Togay ◽  
Afsin Sahin

2016 ◽  
Vol 236 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Sven Offick ◽  
Hans-Werner Wohltmann

AbstractThis paper uses a dynamic framework of a small open economy to study the volatility effects of partially anticipated monetary policy shocks in which the public has imperfect information about the size and/or the timing of the future expansionary policy intervention. Our two main results are as follows: (i) Partially anticipated monetary policy shocks may be stabilizing, i. e. lead to a lower volatility than a fully anticipated monetary policy shock of the same form. (ii) However, we typically obtain a trade off in volatilities such that a simultaneous stabilization of inflation and output is not possible. If the public underestimates (overestimates) the size of the shock, output (inflation) may be stabilized. Our results imply that the central bank may have an incentive to withhold information from the public about the true central bank’s intention.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-37
Author(s):  
Martin Geiger ◽  
Marios Zachariadis

We assess the impact of fiscal and monetary policy shocks on US survey-based consumer expectations within states of low and high public debt. Following an unexpected increase in government spending, consumption intentions rise in the low-debt state and fall in the high-debt state. Overall, such a shock has adverse effects on expectations in high-debt states. Similarly, contractionary monetary policy shocks induce pessimistic expectations in the high-debt state but not in the low-debt state. The estimated responses suggest that higher public debt fuels considerations regarding its repayment, giving rise to state dependencies in the updating of expectations in response to both fiscal and monetary policy shocks.


2001 ◽  
Vol 30 (1) ◽  
pp. 81-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giuseppe De Arcangelis ◽  
Giorgio Di Giorgio

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