scholarly journals Real-Time Forecasting with a (Standard) Mixed-Frequency VAR During a Pandemic

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Schorfheide ◽  
Dongho Song
Keyword(s):  

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Schorfheide ◽  
Dongho Song
Keyword(s):  


2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Schorfheide ◽  
Dongho Song
Keyword(s):  




2015 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael W. McCracken ◽  
Michael T. Owyang ◽  
Tatevik Sekhposyan


Author(s):  
Michael W. McCracken ◽  
Michael Owyang ◽  
Tatevik Sekhposyan


2019 ◽  
Vol 122 (1) ◽  
pp. 369-390
Author(s):  
Stylianos Asimakopoulos ◽  
Joan Paredes ◽  
Thomas Warmedinger


2015 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 366-380 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank Schorfheide ◽  
Dongho Song
Keyword(s):  


2020 ◽  
Vol 254 ◽  
pp. R1-R11
Author(s):  
Ana Beatriz Galvão ◽  
Marta Lopresto

We propose a nowcasting system to obtain real-time predictive intervals for the first-release of UK quarterly GDP growth that can be implemented in a menu-driven econometric software. We design a bottom-up approach: forecasts for GDP components (from the output and the expenditure approaches) are inputs into the computation of probabilistic forecasts for GDP growth. For each GDP component considered, mixed-data-sampling regressions are applied to extract predictive content from monthly and quarterly indicators. We find that predictions from the nowcasting system are accurate, in particular when nowcasts are computed using monthly indicators 30 days before the GDP release. The system is also able to provide well-calibrated predictive intervals.





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