scholarly journals BN-RA: A Hybrid Model for Risk Analysis of Overload-Induced Early Cable Fires

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 8922
Author(s):  
Xiaolong Chen ◽  
Guozhong Huang ◽  
Xuehong Gao ◽  
Shengnan Ou ◽  
Yatao Li ◽  
...  

Cable overload is one of the most critical contributors to early cable fires. This study proposes a hybrid Bayesian network (BN)-based fire risk analysis model, to investigate the evolution of overload-induced early cable fire risks. In particular, the fire risk transmission paths caused by cable overload are reported, considering the critical factors that likely lead to fires. A BN with a specific structure was considered using the fire risk transmission paths. Later, given the risk index system, a hybrid fire risk assessment model caused by cable overload was developed based on the entropy weight method. Subsequently, the corresponding risk levels were evaluated based on the evolution of the fire risk, using numerical simulations. Finally, a case study was conducted to validate the proposed methods, and the results indicated that the proposed methods can effectively evaluate the state of the cable and explain the causes of fire risk, which can be used for early fire warnings.

Author(s):  
S. K. Tomar ◽  
A. Kaur ◽  
H. K. Dangi ◽  
T. Ghawana ◽  
K. Sarma

One of the major challenge from unplanned growth in the cities is the fire incidents posing a serious threat to life and property. Delhi, the capital city of India, has seen unplanned growth of colonies resulting in a serious concern for the relevant agencies. This paper investigates the relation between potential causes of fire incidents during 2013-2016 in South-West Delhi Division of Delhi Fire Services as part of risk analysis using the data about fire stations & their jurisdictions, incidents of fire, water reservoirs available, landuse and population data along with the divisional & sub-divisional boundaries of South-West Delhi division under Delhi Fire Service. Statistical and Geospatial tools have been used together to perform the risk analysis. The analysis reveals that difference in actual occupancy and defined landuse as a part of unplanned growth of settlements is found to be the main reason behind the major fire incidents. The suggested mitigation measures focus on legal, policy, physical & technological aspects and highlight the need to bring the systemic changes with changing scenario of demographics and infrastructure to accommodate more aspects of ground reality.


Author(s):  
Quanle Zou ◽  
Tiancheng Zhang ◽  
Wei Liu

In recent years, various large- and medium-sized shopping malls have been essential components of each city with the speed-up of China’s urbanization process and the improvement of residents’ living standard. A method for evaluating fire risk in shopping malls based on quantified safety checklist and structure entropy weight method was proposed according to related literatures as well as laws and regulations by analyzing the characteristics of fires occurring in shopping malls in recent years. At first, the factors influencing the fire risk in shopping malls were determined by carrying out on-site survey and visiting related organizations to construct an evaluation index system for fires occurring in shopping malls; afterwards, a quantified safety checklist composed of four parts (i.e. safety grade, grade description, scoring criterion and index quantification) was established based on related laws and regulations; subsequently, index weights were determined by utilizing structure entropy weight method, thus putting forward a method for assessing fire risk in shopping malls based on quantified safety checklist and structure entropy weight method. Eventually, the applicability of the evaluation method was validated exampled by Wal-Mart. The research result provides a theoretical basis for further improvement of the theoretical system for fire risk evaluation in shopping malls, and also exerts practical and guidance significance on timeous and effective early warning as well as prevention and control of building fires.


2014 ◽  
Vol 84 ◽  
pp. 204-212 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wu Aiyou ◽  
Shi Shiliang ◽  
Li Runqiu ◽  
Tang Deming ◽  
Tang Xiafang

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (6) ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yong Ho Yoo ◽  
Young Hwa Choi ◽  
Oh Sang Kweon

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