scholarly journals Ruin Probability Approximations in Sparre Andersen Models with Completely Monotone Claims

Risks ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hansjörg Albrecher ◽  
Eleni Vatamidou

We consider the Sparre Andersen risk process with interclaim times that belong to the class of distributions with rational Laplace transform. We construct error bounds for the ruin probability based on the Pollaczek–Khintchine formula, and develop an efficient algorithm to approximate the ruin probability for completely monotone claim size distributions. Our algorithm improves earlier results and can be tailored towards achieving a predetermined accuracy of the approximation.

2005 ◽  
Vol 42 (3) ◽  
pp. 595-607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Frostig

We study the expected time to ruin in a risk process in which dividends are paid when the surplus is above the barrier. We consider the case in which the dividend rate is smaller than the premium rate. We obtain results for the classical compound Poisson risk process with phase-type claim size. When the ruin probability is 1, we derive the expected time to ruin and the expected dividends paid. When the ruin probability is less than 1, these quantities are derived conditioning on the event that ruin occurs.


2005 ◽  
Vol 42 (03) ◽  
pp. 595-607 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Frostig

We study the expected time to ruin in a risk process in which dividends are paid when the surplus is above the barrier. We consider the case in which the dividend rate is smaller than the premium rate. We obtain results for the classical compound Poisson risk process with phase-type claim size. When the ruin probability is 1, we derive the expected time to ruin and the expected dividends paid. When the ruin probability is less than 1, these quantities are derived conditioning on the event that ruin occurs.


1996 ◽  
Vol 33 (01) ◽  
pp. 57-70
Author(s):  
Bartłomiej Błaszczyszyn ◽  
Tomasz Rolski

Let N be a stationary Markov-modulated marked point process on ℝ with intensity β ∗ and consider a real-valued functional ψ(N). In this paper we study expansions of the form Eψ(N) = a 0 + β ∗ a 1 + ·· ·+ (β∗ ) nan + o((β ∗) n ) for β ∗→ 0. Formulas for the coefficients ai are derived in terms of factorial moment measures of N. We compute a 1 and a 2 for the probability of ruin φ u with initial capital u for the risk process in the Markov-modulated environment; a 0 = 0. Moreover, we give a sufficient condition for ϕu to be an analytic function of β ∗. We allow the premium rate function p(x) to depend on the actual risk reserve.


2009 ◽  
Vol 46 (02) ◽  
pp. 542-558 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. J. Baurdoux

Chiu and Yin (2005) found the Laplace transform of the last time a spectrally negative Lévy process, which drifts to ∞, is below some level. The main motivation for the study of this random time stems from risk theory: what is the last time the risk process, modeled by a spectrally negative Lévy process drifting to ∞, is 0? In this paper we extend the result of Chiu and Yin, and we derive the Laplace transform of the last time, before an independent, exponentially distributed time, that a spectrally negative Lévy process (without any further conditions) exceeds (upwards or downwards) or hits a certain level. As an application, we extend a result found in Doney (1991).


2005 ◽  
Vol 37 (03) ◽  
pp. 836-856 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shuanming Li ◽  
José Garrido

We consider a compound renewal (Sparre Andersen) risk process with interclaim times that have a K n distribution (i.e. the Laplace transform of their density function is a ratio of two polynomials of degree at most n ∈ N). The Laplace transform of the expected discounted penalty function at ruin is derived. This leads to a generalization of the defective renewal equations given by Willmot (1999) and Gerber and Shiu (2005). Finally, explicit results are given for rationally distributed claim severities.


2006 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 916-926 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayalvadi Ganesh ◽  
Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We consider a class of risk processes with delayed claims, and we provide ruin probability estimates under heavy tail conditions on the claim size distribution.


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