scholarly journals Hubungan Antara Brownian Motion (The Winner Process) dan Surplus Process

2012 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Tohap Manurung

HUBUNGAN ANTARA BROWNIAN MOTION (THE WIENER PROCESS) DAN SURPLUS PROCESS ABSTRAK Suatu analisis model continous-time menjadi cakupan yang akan dibahas dalam tulisan ini. Dengan demikian pengenalan proses stochastic akan sangat berperan. Dua proses akan di analisis yaitu proses compound Poisson dan Brownian motion. Proses compound Poisson sudah menjadi model standard untuk Ruin analysis dalam ilmu aktuaria. Sementara Brownian motion sangat berguna dalam teori keuangan modern dan juga dapat digunakan sebagai approksimasi untuk proses compound Poisson. Hal penting dalam tulisan ini adalah menujukkan bagaimana surplus process berdasarkan proses resiko compound Poisson dihubungkan dengan Brownian motion with Drift Process. Kata kunci: Brownian motion with Drift process, proses surplus, compound Poisson   RELATIONSHIP  BETWEEN  BROWNIAN MOTION (THE WIENER PROCESS) AND THE SURPLUS PROCESS ABSTRACT An analysis of continous-time models is covered in this paper. Thus, this requires an introduction to stochastic processes. Two processes are analyzed: the compound Poisson process and Brownian motion. The compound Poisson process has been the standard model for ruin analysis in actuarial science, while Brownian motion has found considerable use in modern financial theory and also can be used as an approximation to the compound Pisson process. The important thing is to show how the surplus process based on compound poisson risk process is related to Brownian motion with drift process. Keywords: Brownian motion with drift process, surplus process, compound Poisson

2004 ◽  
Vol 41 (04) ◽  
pp. 1059-1070 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Perry ◽  
W. Stadje ◽  
S. Zacks

The ‘rendezvous time’ of two stochastic processes is the first time at which they cross or hit each other. We consider such times for a Brownian motion with drift, starting at some positive level, and a compound Poisson process or a process with one random jump at some random time. We also ask whether a rendezvous takes place before the Brownian motion hits zero and, if so, at what time. These questions are answered in terms of Laplace transforms for the underlying distributions. The analogous problem for reflected Brownian motion is also studied.


2004 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 1059-1070 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Perry ◽  
W. Stadje ◽  
S. Zacks

The ‘rendezvous time’ of two stochastic processes is the first time at which they cross or hit each other. We consider such times for a Brownian motion with drift, starting at some positive level, and a compound Poisson process or a process with one random jump at some random time. We also ask whether a rendezvous takes place before the Brownian motion hits zero and, if so, at what time. These questions are answered in terms of Laplace transforms for the underlying distributions. The analogous problem for reflected Brownian motion is also studied.


2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 255-261 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Perry ◽  
Wolfgang Stadje

We consider a reflected superposition of a Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process as a model for the workload process of a queueing system with two types of customers under heavy traffic. The distributions of the duration of a busy cycle and the maximum workload during a cycle are determined in closed form.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-7
Author(s):  
Yong Wu ◽  
Xiang Hu

We consider that the surplus of an insurer follows compound Poisson process and the insurer would invest its surplus in risky assets, whose prices satisfy the Black-Scholes model. In the risk process, we decompose the ruin probability into the sum of two ruin probabilities which are caused by the claim and the oscillation, respectively. We derive the integro-differential equations for these ruin probabilities these ruin probabilities. When the claim sizes are exponentially distributed, third-order differential equations of the ruin probabilities are derived from the integro-differential equations and a lower bound is obtained.


2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
pp. 183-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Frostig

Assume that an insurance company pays dividends to its shareholders whenever the surplus process is above a given threshold. In this paper we study the expected amount of dividends paid, and the expected time to ruin in the compound Poisson risk process perturbed by a Brownian motion. Two models are considered: In the first one the insurance company pays whatever amount exceeds a given level b as dividends to its shareholders. In the second model, the company starts to pay dividends at a given rate, smaller than the premium rate, whenever the surplus up-crosses the level b. The dividends are paid until the surplus down-crosses the level a, a < b . We assume that the claim sizes are phase-type distributed. In the analysis we apply the multidimensional Wald martingale, and the multidimensional Asmussesn and Kella martingale.


2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 415-432
Author(s):  
David C.M. Dickson ◽  
Howard R. Waters

We consider a classical surplus process where the insurer can choose a different level of reinsurance at the start of each year. We assume the insurer’s objective is to minimise the probability of ruin up to some given time horizon, either in discrete or continuous time. We develop formulae for ruin probabilities under the optimal reinsurance strategy, i.e. the optimal retention each year as the surplus changes and the period until the time horizon shortens. For our compound Poisson process, it is not feasible to evaluate these formulae, and hence determine the optimal strategies, in any but the simplest cases. We show how we can determine the optimal strategies by approximating the (compound Poisson) aggregate claims distributions by translated gamma distributions, and, alternatively, by approximating the compound Poisson process by a translated gamma process.


2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 183-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esther Frostig

Assume that an insurance company pays dividends to its shareholders whenever the surplus process is above a given threshold. In this paper we study the expected amount of dividends paid, and the expected time to ruin in the compound Poisson risk process perturbed by a Brownian motion. Two models are considered: In the first one the insurance company pays whatever amount exceeds a given levelbas dividends to its shareholders. In the second model, the company starts to pay dividends at a given rate, smaller than the premium rate, whenever the surplus up-crosses the levelb. The dividends are paid until the surplus down-crosses the levela,a&lt;b. We assume that the claim sizes are phase-type distributed. In the analysis we apply the multidimensional Wald martingale, and the multidimensional Asmussesn and Kella martingale.


2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 255-261
Author(s):  
David Perry ◽  
Wolfgang Stadje

We consider a reflected superposition of a Brownian motion and a compound Poisson process as a model for the workload process of a queueing system with two types of customers under heavy traffic. The distributions of the duration of a busy cycle and the maximum workload during a cycle are determined in closed form.


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