scholarly journals MODELLING THE IMPACTS OF UNCERTAIN CARBON TAX POLICY ON MARITIME FLEET MIX STRATEGY AND CARBON MITIGATION

Transport ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 707-717
Author(s):  
Mo Zhu ◽  
Michael Chen ◽  
Murat Kristal
Keyword(s):  
Tax Policy ◽  
Stochastic Dynamics ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Carbon Tax ◽  
Dynamic Environment ◽  
Liner Shipping ◽  
Scenario Tree ◽  
Planning Problem ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Fleet Planning

The maritime transport industry continues to draw international attention on significant Greenhouse Gas emissions. The introduction of emissions taxes aims to control and reduce emissions. The uncertainty of carbon tax policy affects shipping companies’ fleet planning and increases costs. We formulate the fleet planning problem under carbon tax policy uncertainty a multi-stage stochastic integer-programming model for the liner shipping companies. We develop a scenario tree to represent the structure of the carbon tax stochastic dynamics, and seek the optimal planning, which is adaptive to the policy uncertainty. Non-anticipativity constraint is applied to ensure the feasibility of the decisions in the dynamic environment. For the sake of comparison, the Perfect Information (PI) model is introduced as well. Based on a liner shipping application of our model, we find that under the policy uncertainty, companies charter more ships when exposed to high carbon tax risk, and spend more on fleet operation; meanwhile the CO2 emission volume will be reduced.

scholarly journals Emission-Intensity-Based Carbon Tax and Its Impact on Generation Self-Scheduling

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ping Che ◽  
Yanyan Zhang ◽  
Jin Lang
Keyword(s):  
Electricity Market ◽  
Emission Intensity ◽  
Tax Policy ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Carbon Tax ◽  
Electric Power Industry ◽  
Decomposition Algorithm ◽  
Mixed Integer ◽  
Tax Rate ◽  
The Impact

We propose an emission-intensity-based carbon-tax policy for the electric-power industry and investigate the impact of the policy on thermal generation self-scheduling in a deregulated electricity market. The carbon-tax policy is designed to take a variable tax rate that increases stepwise with the increase of generation emission intensity. By introducing a step function to express the variable tax rate, we formulate the generation self-scheduling problem under the proposed carbon-tax policy as a mixed integer nonlinear programming model. The objective function is to maximize total generation profits, which are determined by generation revenue and the levied carbon tax over the scheduling horizon. To solve the problem, a decomposition algorithm is developed where the variable tax rate is transformed into a pure integer linear formulation and the resulting problem is decomposed into multiple generation self-scheduling problems with a constant tax rate and emission-intensity constraints. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed decomposition algorithm can solve the considered problem in a reasonable time and indicate that the proposed carbon-tax policy can enhance the incentive for generation companies to invest in low-carbon generation capacity.

scholarly journals Fleet Planning Decision-Making: Two-Stage Optimization with Slot Purchase

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lay Eng Teoh ◽  
Hooi Ling Khoo
Keyword(s):  
Programming Model ◽  
Planning Horizon ◽  
Profit Margin ◽  
Planning Problem ◽  
Illustrative Case ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Fleet Planning ◽  
Novel Approach ◽  
Planning Decision ◽  
Service Frequency

Essentially, strategic fleet planning is vital for airlines to yield a higher profit margin while providing a desired service frequency to meet stochastic demand. In contrast to most studies that did not consider slot purchase which would affect the service frequency determination of airlines, this paper proposes a novel approach to solve the fleet planning problem subject to various operational constraints. A two-stage fleet planning model is formulated in which the first stage selects the individual operating route that requires slot purchase for network expansions while the second stage, in the form of probabilistic dynamic programming model, determines the quantity and type of aircraft (with the corresponding service frequency) to meet the demand profitably. By analyzing an illustrative case study (with 38 international routes), the results show that the incorporation of slot purchase in fleet planning is beneficial to airlines in achieving economic and social sustainability. The developed model is practically viable for airlines not only to provide a better service quality (via a higher service frequency) to meet more demand but also to obtain a higher revenue and profit margin, by making an optimal slot purchase and fleet planning decision throughout the long-term planning horizon.

scholarly journals Location Problem of Production and Sales under Carbon Tax Policy

2020 ◽  
Vol 1575 ◽  
pp. 012188
Author(s):  
Chong Xiang ◽  
Xiaoshen Li ◽  
Guanglei Sun
Keyword(s):  
Tax Policy ◽  
Location Problem ◽  
Carbon Tax

scholarly journals Location of regional and international hub ports in liner shipping

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 114-125 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianfeng Zheng ◽  
Cong Fu ◽  
Haibo Kuang
Keyword(s):  
Design Methodology ◽  
Location Problem ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Liner Shipping ◽  
Mixed Integer ◽  
Eastern Asia ◽  
Hub Location ◽  
Hub Location Problem ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Western Asia

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the location of regional and international hub ports in liner shipping by proposing a hierarchical hub location problem. Design/methodology/approach This paper develops a mixed-integer linear programming model for the authors’ proposed problem. Numerical experiments based on a realistic Asia-Europe-Oceania liner shipping network are carried out to account for the effectiveness of this model. Findings The results show that one international hub port (i.e. Rotterdam) and one regional hub port (i.e. Zeebrugge) are opened in Europe. Two international hub ports (i.e. Sokhna and Salalah) are located in Western Asia, where no regional hub port is established. One international hub port (i.e. Colombo) and one regional hub port (i.e. Cochin) are opened in Southern Asia. One international hub port (i.e. Singapore) and one regional hub port (i.e. Jakarta) are opened in Southeastern Asia and Australia. Three international hub ports (i.e. Hong Kong, Shanghai and Yokohama) and two regional hub ports (i.e. Qingdao and Kwangyang) are opened in Eastern Asia. Originality/value This paper proposes a hierarchical hub location problem, in which the authors distinguish between regional and international hub ports in liner shipping. Moreover, scale economies in ship size are considered. Furthermore, the proposed problem introduces the main ports.

Design of hydrogen supply chains under demand uncertainty – a case study of passenger transport in Germany

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Anton Ochoa Bique ◽  
Leonardo K. K. Maia ◽  
Ignacio E. Grossmann ◽  
Edwin Zondervan
Keyword(s):  
Stochastic Optimization ◽  
Demand Uncertainty ◽  
Programming Model ◽  
Cost Minimization ◽  
Water Electrolysis ◽  
Scenario Tree ◽  
Mixed Integer ◽  
Optimization Approach ◽  
Strong Impact ◽  
Hydrogen Supply

Abstract A strategy for the design of a hydrogen supply chain (HSC) network in Germany incorporating the uncertainty in the hydrogen demand is proposed. Based on univariate sensitivity analysis, uncertainty in hydrogen demand has a very strong impact on the overall system costs. Therefore we consider a scenario tree for a stochastic mixed integer linear programming model that incorporates the uncertainty in the hydrogen demand. The model consists of two configurations, which are analyzed and compared to each other according to production types: water electrolysis versus steam methane reforming. Each configuration has a cost minimization target. The concept of value of stochastic solution (VSS) is used to evaluate the stochastic optimization results and compare them to their deterministic counterpart. The VSS of each configuration shows significant benefits of a stochastic optimization approach for the model presented in this study, corresponding up to 26% of infrastructure investments savings.

scholarly journals The Macro Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (015) ◽  
pp. 1-50
Author(s):  
Stephie Fried ◽  
◽  
Kevin Novan ◽  
William B. Peterman ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Policy ◽  
Equilibrium Model ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Carbon Tax ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Dynamic General Equilibrium Model ◽  
Macroeconomic Impacts ◽  
Policy Risk ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The U.S

Uncertainty surrounding if and when the U.S. government will implement a federal climate policy introduces risk into the decision to invest in capital used in conjunction with fossil fuels. To quantify the macroeconomic impacts of this climate policy risk, we develop a dynamic, general equilibrium model that incorporates beliefs about future climate policy. We find that climate policy risk reduces carbon emissions by causing the capital stock to shrink and become relatively cleaner. Our results reveal, however, that a carbon tax could achieve the same reduction in emissions at less than half the cost.

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