scholarly journals Threshold dynamics in a time-delayed periodic SIS epidemic model

2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 169-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yijun Lou ◽  
◽  
Xiao-Qiang Zhao ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 46 (01) ◽  
pp. 241-255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Neal

We study the endemic behaviour of a homogeneously mixing SIS epidemic in a population of size N with a general infectious period, Q, by introducing a novel subcritical branching process with immigration approximation. This provides a simple but useful approximation of the quasistationary distribution of the SIS epidemic for finite N and the asymptotic Gaussian limit for the endemic equilibrium as N → ∞. A surprising observation is that the quasistationary distribution of the SIS epidemic model depends on Q only through


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