A Speculation on the Temporal Horizon of Amsa-dong Site

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (3) ◽  
pp. 5-28
Author(s):  
EunKyung Hong
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Horizon

scholarly journals Quantifying the Predictability of Visual Scanpaths Using Active Information Storage

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 167
Author(s):  
Patricia Wollstadt ◽  
Martina Hasenjäger ◽  
Christiane B. Wiebel-Herboth
Keyword(s):  
Information Storage ◽  
Gaze Behavior ◽  
Behavioral Experiments ◽  
Human Machine Interaction ◽  
Cognitive States ◽  
Visual Scanpath ◽  
Active Information Storage ◽  
Temporal Horizon ◽  
Machine Interaction ◽  
Transition Entropy

Entropy-based measures are an important tool for studying human gaze behavior under various conditions. In particular, gaze transition entropy (GTE) is a popular method to quantify the predictability of a visual scanpath as the entropy of transitions between fixations and has been shown to correlate with changes in task demand or changes in observer state. Measuring scanpath predictability is thus a promising approach to identifying viewers’ cognitive states in behavioral experiments or gaze-based applications. However, GTE does not account for temporal dependencies beyond two consecutive fixations and may thus underestimate the actual predictability of the current fixation given past gaze behavior. Instead, we propose to quantify scanpath predictability by estimating the active information storage (AIS), which can account for dependencies spanning multiple fixations. AIS is calculated as the mutual information between a processes’ multivariate past state and its next value. It is thus able to measure how much information a sequence of past fixations provides about the next fixation, hence covering a longer temporal horizon. Applying the proposed approach, we were able to distinguish between induced observer states based on estimated AIS, providing first evidence that AIS may be used in the inference of user states to improve human–machine interaction.

“The Stories That Will Make a Difference Aren’t the Easy Ones”: Outdoor Recreation, the Wilderness Ideal, and Complicating Settler Mobility

2020 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-95 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jason Laurendeau
Keyword(s):  
Outdoor Recreation ◽  
Outdoor Culture ◽  
Land Dispossession ◽  
History Of ◽  
Colonial Violence ◽  
Temporal Horizon

In this autoethnography, I read my history of and connection to outdoor culture, with an eye toward interrogating my complicity in historical and ongoing settler-colonial violence that has rendered my love of “the mountains” both possible and ostensibly unproblematic. In so doing, I unsettle (my) understandings of the connections between land, embodiment, masculinities, and able-bodiedness, exploring how settler attachment to the mountains is predicated on and serves to perpetuate, a(n ongoing) history of land dispossession. I also, however, consider a “different temporal horizon” through a discussion of settler futurity as it relates to outdoor recreation, complicating settler mobility in the process.

The temporal horizon of ‘the choice’

Thesis Eleven ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 118 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tom Campbell
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Horizon

scholarly journals Factors determining the forecast errors of market analysts for fiscal variables in Brazil

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-22
Author(s):  
Francisca Aparecida de Souza ◽  
César Augusto Tibúrcio Silva ◽  
Karla Roberta Castro Pinheiro Alves
Keyword(s):  
Financial Management ◽  
Forecast Error ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Forecast Errors ◽  
Forecasting Error ◽  
Public Financial Management ◽  
Net Revenue ◽  
Temporal Horizon ◽  
Substantial Change

The objective of this study is to investigate determinant factors the forecast errors of market analysts for Brazilian fiscal variables. The data for conducting the research was obtained in the Prisma Fiscal, the Ministry of Economy's system of collecting and disclosure of market expectations for fiscal variables. The data collected refer to collection, net revenue and total expenditure, in the period from November 2015 to December 2018. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) and z were used to measure the quality of the market analysts' forecast. The use of the z value as a measure of the forecast error is one of the contributions of this research. Among the results obtained, the hypothesis that the temporal horizon interferes in the quality of the forecast was not rejected for horizons of one and two years; the dispersion of forecasts did not show a substantial change; and the optimistic bias hypothesis was not confirmed. It can be concluded that for this sample the temporality is a determinant factor of the forecast error of the market analysts for fiscal variables. The research contributes to the discussion about forecasting error in the areas of Public Financial Management and Public Accounting.

scholarly journals Some insights into nanotechnology innovation processes and patterns for advanced materials

2018 ◽  
Vol 64 (1) ◽  
pp. 74
Author(s):  
Antonio Adrián Arciénaga Morales ◽  
Janni Nielsen ◽  
Eduardo Roveris Gomes ◽  
Leif Bloch Rasmusen ◽  
Hernán Bacarini ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Developing Countries ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Complex Problem ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Advanced Materials ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Cooperative Agents ◽  
Temporal Horizon ◽  
Innovation Processes

<p>Nanotechnology innovation has peculiar characteristics. This paper reviews the methodology and results, drawn from cases analyzed on two EU projects: EULASUR and EULACERMAT. The cases covers both European and Latin American experiences, particularly from Mercosur countries. We analyze specifically nanotechnology innovation based on new and advanced materials. The main conclusion of this paper is that innovation in advanced materials, based on nanotechnology, relies crucially on networks of cooperative agents. It starts from the validated assumption that innovation is interactive in nature. Therefore, it is needed to co-create through the participation to obtain feasible results. The position of advanced materials within the related (new or existent) value chains explains to a great extend the border conditions for innovating in this nanotechnology field. It appeared clearly that innovation in this field is a complex problem, with the same degree as researching (nanoscience), and that the connections between them were not obvious nor simple. Concerning policy implications, it is useful to discriminate them in terms of the temporal horizon of what type of nanotechnology innovation should be promoted, particularly for developing countries’ trajectories, for ensuring that the impacts of advanced materials will be suitable for the society.</p>

scholarly journals Adaptivity as a Property to Achieve Resilience of Load-Carrying Systems

2018 ◽  
Vol 885 ◽  
pp. 77-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pia D. Schlemmer ◽  
Hermann Kloberdanz ◽  
Christopher M. Gehb ◽  
Eckhard Kirchner
Keyword(s):  
Product Development ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
External Disturbances ◽  
Load Carrying ◽  
System Components ◽  
Brake Application ◽  
Temporal Horizon ◽  
Robust Systems ◽  
Load Conditions

Load-carrying systems often suffer from unexpected disruptions which can cause damages or system breakdowns if they were neglected during product development. In this context, unexpected disruptions summarize unpredictable load conditions, external disturbances or failures of system components and can be comprehended as uncertainties caused by nescience. While robust systems can cope with stochastic uncertainties, uncertainties caused by nescience can be controlled only by resilient load-carrying systems. This paper gives an overview of the characteristics of resilience as well as the time-dependent resilient behaviour of subsystems. Based on this, the adaptivity of subsystems is classified and can be distinguished between autonomous and externally induced adaption and the temporal horizon of adaption. The classification of adaptivity is explained using a simple example of a joint brake application.

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