scholarly journals The Equity Risk Premium Puzzle in Pakistan

Market Forces ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Sajid ◽  
Mohammad Arsalan ◽  
Muhammad Tahir Khan ◽  
Muhammad Sufyan Ramish

Our study uses the consumption-based asset-pricing power utility model to test theEquity Risk Premium (ERP) puzzle in Pakistan. The study has collected monthly stock pricedata from July 1997 to December 2017 from the PSX data portal. We extracted informationabout macroeconomic factors such as inflation and risk-free interest rate from the State Bankof Pakistan. Moreover, the study used private consumption and population data from thePakistan Bureau of Statistics. The results suggest that the ERP puzzle has a strong occurrencein Pakistan, a phenomenon previously associated with only developed markets. Onedisadvantage of the present investigation is the small sample size. A longer time durationcould have reduced short-term biases. Past researchers have suggested different approachesfor solving the equity premium puzzle. For instance, some studies used improvised structuralmodels to justify the equity risk premium puzzle using macroeconomic factors.

2019 ◽  
Vol 55 (2) ◽  
pp. 239-248
Author(s):  
Prabath S. Morawakage ◽  
Pulukkuttige D. Nimal ◽  
Duminda Kuruppuarachchi

2015 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 490-501 ◽  
Author(s):  
Günter Bamberg ◽  
Sebastian Heiden

AbstractThe model of Mehra and Prescott (1985, J. Econometrics, 22, 145-161) implies that reasonable coefficients of risk-aversion of economic agents cannot explain the equity risk premium generated by financial markets. This discrepancy is hitherto regarded as a major financial puzzle. We propose an alternative model to explain the equity premium. For normally distributed returns and for returns far away from normality (but still light tailed), realistic equity risk premia do not imply puzzlingly high risk aversions. Following our approach, the ‘equity premium puzzle’ does not exist. We also consider fat-tailed return distributions and show that Pareto tails are incompatible with constant relative risk aversion.


2006 ◽  
Vol 09 (02) ◽  
pp. 199-215
Author(s):  
OLUWATOBI OYEFESO

This paper reviews the extant studies on the equity premium. While paper attempts to make the review comprehensive, describing all of the work in this area is difficult considering the numerous researches that have been done in this area. Essentially, the paper assesses the relationship between the excess return and the equity risk premium and draws attention to their interchangeable use in the finance literature. Existing literature is reviewed around possible theories explaining the equity premium puzzle and followed by the empirical evidence on the theories. Finally, this paper focuses on the problems of attaining consensus value and source of the market risk premium, which makes equity premium puzzle an unresolved issue among the academics and finance practitioners.


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