scholarly journals On the extreme value distribution of annual maximum wind speed at the strait of Akashi by a probabilistic procedure

1994 ◽  
Vol 1994 (58) ◽  
pp. 3-9
Author(s):  
Minoru MAKINO
2014 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 1371-1381 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. R. Shanas ◽  
V. Sanil Kumar

Abstract. Temporal variations in wind speed and significant wave height (SWH) at a location in the eastern Arabian Sea are studied using ERA-Interim reanalysis data from 1979 to 2012. A shallow water location is selected for the study since measured buoy data are available close to the location for comparison with the reanalysis data. The annual mean wind speed shows a statistically significant decreasing trend of 1.5 cm s−1 year−1, whereas a statistically insignificant increasing trend of 3.6 cm s−1 year−1 is observed for annual maximum wind speed due to the local events that altered the trend in annual maximum wind speed. Weakening of SWH during one of the peak monsoon months (August) is identified from the monthly analysis of SWH, which shows a higher upward trend in SWH during the southwest monsoon period, with an exception during August. The annual mean SWH shows a slight upward trend (0.012 cm year−1), whereas a larger upward trend (1.4 cm year−1) is observed for annual maximum SWH. Both identified trends are statistically insignificant. The influence of tropical cyclone activity is also studied and it is found that the maximum SWH and wind speed during 1996 are directly related to the cyclonic event.


2011 ◽  
Vol 368-373 ◽  
pp. 1424-1430
Author(s):  
Jian Jia Wu ◽  
Wen Hai Shi

Based on large amount of meteorological wind field records observed in Wenzhou district, this paper analyzed the annual maximum wind speed (maximum 10 minute mean wind speed), annual extreme wind speed (maximum 3 seconds mean wind speed), reference wind pressure and wind field characteristics of typhoon in Wenzhou. The results shows that the annual maximum wind speed have a decreased trend on the whole in different areas of Wenzhou, and the trend in coastal area is more obvious than that in inland areas; the annual maximum wind speed in different areas of Wenzhou is unsteady and the typhoons have great effect on it; the value of reference wind pressure in Dongtou is greater than the value given by the design load code of China (GB50009-2001, 2002), but the values of other areas are less than the value of Code. Based on the wind field of three typhoon records, some significant results about the variation and routine characteristics of typhoon are also discussed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (23) ◽  
pp. 61-71
Author(s):  
Mykola Pashynskyi ◽  
◽  
Victor Pashynskyi ◽  
Evgeniy Klymenko ◽  
◽  
...  

The aim of this work is to improve a method for determining the characteristic values of climatic loads according to a probabilistic model of the annual maxima sequence, by choosing a rational type of generalized extreme value distribution law. An analysis is provided regarding the suitability of using four types of distributions for describing a data collection of maximum values of climatic loads. Using example data from the meteorological stations of Ukraine, it is found that for coefficients of variation smaller than 0.85–1.0, it is advisable to use the double exponential Gumbel distribution (generalized extreme value distribution type-I), and at higher values of the coefficient of variation, it is advisable to use the Weibull distribution (generalized extreme value distribution type-III). Recommendations are provided for considering the accuracy in the estimations of the characteristic values of loads according to the probabilistic model for the annual maximum value series.


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