scholarly journals El Nino of 1997-1998 and Indian Monsoon

MAUSAM ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 52 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-66
Author(s):  
G. C. ASNANI

El-Nino of 1997-1998 was accompanied by severe global weather anomalies, which generated widespread interest at all levels in the world. As a result, United Nations General Assembly passed a resolution (52 / 200) urging International co-operation to reduce the adverse impact of El-Nino on human society and Environment. The El-Nino (Warm Phase) commenced around April – May 1997, reached peak intensity around December 1997 and ended around May 1998. La-Nina (Cold Phase) started around this time, reached its peak in January 1999, weakened around June - July 1999 and has continued in its weak phase at the time of writing, August 1999.   Development and decay of the El-Nino are illustrated through SST,SOI and sea-water temperature below the sea-surface. Features during peak period of El-Nino are illustrated through SST, sea-level pressure, surface wind, OLR, and Walker Circulation. There is clear evidence of west-to-east propagation of OLR anomaly, 850 hPa zonal wind anomaly and sea-level pressure anomaly. SST anomaly pattern did not give strong evidence of this type of zonal progression.   El-Nino is global in nature.   El-Nino / La-Nina years during the 120-year period 1871-1990 are tabulated along with All India Summer Monsoon Rainfall (AISMR) anomalies. There is evidence of El-Nino years tending to become years of deficit rainfall and La-Nina years being years of excess rainfall over India. El-Nino / La-Nina events, which can be predicted 6-12 months in advance, can be used and are being used as part of the prediction formulae, in the issue of official monsoon rainfall forecast by India Meteorological Department. Based on El-Nino considerations alone, it has been feared, in some quarters, that 1997 might become a year of extreme deficit summer monsoon rainfall. However, the actual rainfall over India during June – September 1997 was 2 % above normal. India Meteorological Department had predicted "normal" rainfall (+-10% of the rainfall).

2015 ◽  
Vol 78 (2) ◽  
pp. 837-853 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Bhatla ◽  
Madhu Singh ◽  
R. K. Mall ◽  
A. Tripathi ◽  
P. V. S. Raju

2014 ◽  
Vol 58 (2) ◽  
pp. 302-325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Świerczyńska ◽  
Tomasz Niedzielski ◽  
Wiesław Kosek
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
La Niña ◽  

2014 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Habib B. Dieng ◽  
Anny Cazenave ◽  
Benoit Meyssignac ◽  
Olivier Henry ◽  
Karina von Schuckmann ◽  
...  

AbstractInterannual fluctuations of the global mean sea level are highly correlated with El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events, with positive/negative anomalies during El Niño/La Niña. In a previous study we showed that during the 1997 - 1998 El Niño, a positive anomaly observed in the global mean sea level was mostly caused by an increase of the ocean mass component rather than by steric (thermal) effects. This result was related to an increase of precipitation over the tropical ocean and a deficit in land water storage. In the present study, we investigate the effect of the recent 2008 and 2011 La Niña events on the satellite altimetry-based global mean sea level. We find that the large global mean sea level drop associated with the 2011 La Niña results from the combined decrease of the steric and ocean mass components, with a slightly dominant contribution from the latter. We show that the ocean mass contribution to the global mean sea level drop is spatially confined over the north eastern tropical Pacific (just as was found previously for the 1997 - 1998 El Niño, but with opposite sign). Corresponding ocean mass spatial pattern is closely correlated to observed sea level and steric spatial patterns over the duration of the La Niña event. This is also observed for previous El Niño and La Niña events. Such a drop in ocean mass during ENSO in the eastern part of the tropical Pacific has not been reported before. It is possibly related to a temporary decrease in the net precipitation over the north eastern Pacific (opposite situation was found during the 1997 - 1998 El Niño).


2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (8) ◽  
pp. 2240-2247 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yun Qiu ◽  
Wenju Cai ◽  
Xiaogang Guo ◽  
Aijun Pan

Abstract Since 1951, late spring (May) rainfall over southeastern China (SEC) has decreased by more than 30% from its long-term average, in contrast to a rainfall increase in boreal summer. The dynamics have yet to be fully determined. This paper shows that as the Indo-Pacific enters into a La Niña phase, significant negative mean sea level pressure (MSLP) anomalies grow over the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific sector. The associated large-scale southwesterly anomalies transport moisture to the nearby South China Sea and the SEC region, contributing to a higher rainfall. A presence of a Philippine Sea anticyclonic (PSAC) pattern, arising from a decaying El Niño, strengthens the rain-conducive flow to SEC, but it is not a necessary condition. During the past decades, an increase in protracted El Niño events accompanied by a reduction in La Niña episodes has contributed to the May rainfall decline. The extent to which climate change is contributing is discussed.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ghouse Basha ◽  
M. Venkat Ratnam ◽  
Pangaluru Kishore ◽  
S. Ravindrababu ◽  
Isabella Velicogna

Abstract. The Asian Summer Monsoon Anticyclone (ASMA) persisting during monsoon season in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere (UTLS) region play an important role in confining the trace gases and aerosols for a longer period thus affects regional and global climate. Our understanding on these trace gases and aerosols variability in the ASMA is limited. In this study, the effect of the ASMA on the trace gases (Water Vapour (WV), Ozone (O3), Carbon Monoxide (CO)) and aerosols (Attenuated Scattering Ratio (ASR)) obtained from long-term (2006–2016) satellite measurements is investigated. Since the ASMA is present in the UTLS region, its influence on the tropopause characteristics is also explored. Higher tropopause altitude, WV, CO and ASR confining to the ASMA region is observed, whereas tropopause temperatures and O3 are found low. There exists large inter-annual variation in the ASMA and hence its effect on these trace gases and aerosols are also seen clearly. A significant relationship is also observed between the phases of Quasi-Biannual Oscillation (QBO) and El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the trace gases and ASR, including the tropopause when measurements in the ASMA region are subject to multivariate regression analysis. Further, the influence of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) activity on the ASMA trace gases and aerosols is studied with respect to active and break spells of monsoon, strong and weak monsoon years, strong La Niña, El Niño years. Results show a significant increase in WV, CO and decrease in O3 during the active phase of the ISM, strong monsoon years and strong La Niña years in the ASMA. Enhancement in the ASR values during the strong monsoon years and strong La Niña years is observed. Thus, it is prudent to conclude that the dynamics of the ASMA play an important role in the confinement of several trace gases and aerosols and suggested to consider the activity of summer monsoon while dealing with them at sub-seasonal scales.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fan WANG ◽  
Qiuping Ren ◽  
Yuanlong Li ◽  
Fei Zheng ◽  
Jing Duan

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