scholarly journals Modeling distributions of travel time variability for bus operations

2015 ◽  
Vol 50 (1) ◽  
pp. 6-24 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenliang Ma ◽  
Luis Ferreira ◽  
Mahmoud Mesbah ◽  
Sicong Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Time Variability ◽  
Travel Time Variability

Road Pricing under Travel Time Variability

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gege Jiang ◽  
Hong Kam LO ◽  
Zheng LIANG
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Road Pricing ◽  
Time Variability ◽  
Travel Time Variability

scholarly journals Measuring Recurrent and Nonrecurrent Traffic Congestion

2003 ◽  
Vol 1856 (1) ◽  
pp. 118-124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Skabardonis ◽  
Pravin Varaiya ◽  
Karl F. Petty
Keyword(s):  
Los Angeles ◽  
Travel Time ◽  
San Francisco ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Time Variability ◽  
Loop Detectors ◽  
Bay Area ◽  
Freeway Corridors ◽  
Travel Time Variability

A methodology and its application to measure total, recurrent, and nonrecurrent (incident related) delay on urban freeways are described. The methodology used data from loop detectors and calculated the average and the probability distribution of delays. Application of the methodology to two real-life freeway corridors in Los Angeles, California, and one in the San Francisco, California, Bay Area, indicated that reliable measurement of congestion also should provide measures of uncertainty in congestion. In the three applications, incident-related delay was found to be 13% to 30% of the total congestion delay during peak periods. The methodology also quantified the congestion impacts on travel time and travel time variability.

scholarly journals Route choice, travel time variability, and rational inattention

2019 ◽  
Vol 38 ◽  
pp. 482-502 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gege Jiang ◽  
Mogens Fosgerau ◽  
Hong K. Lo
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Route Choice ◽  
Time Variability ◽  
Rational Inattention ◽  
Travel Time Variability

scholarly journals Analysis of Component Errors in the Highway Capacity Manual Travel Time Reliability Estimations for Urban Streets

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (6) ◽  
pp. 85-97 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ernest O. A. Tufuor ◽  
Laurence R. Rilett
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Time Variability ◽  
Travel Time Reliability ◽  
Travel Times ◽  
Highway Capacity ◽  
Highway Capacity Manual ◽  
Urban Streets ◽  
Estimate Travel Time ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Travel Time Variability

The Highway Capacity Manual 6th edition (HCM6) includes a new methodology to estimate and predict the distribution of average travel times (TTD) for urban streets. The TTD can then be used to estimate travel time reliability (TTR) metrics. Previous research on a 0.5-mi testbed showed statistically significant differences between the HCM6 estimated TTD and the corresponding empirical TTD. The difference in average travel time was 4 s that, while statistically significant, is not important from a practical perspective. More importantly, the TTD variance was underestimated by 70%. In other words, the HCM6 results reflected a more reliable testbed than field measurement. This paper expands the analysis on a longer testbed. It identifies the sources and magnitude of travel time variability that contribute to the HCM6 error. Understanding the potential sources of error, and their quantitative values, are the first steps in improving the HCM6 model to better reflect actual conditions. Empirical Bluetooth travel times were collected on a 1.16-mi testbed in Lincoln, Nebraska. The HCM6 methodology was used to model the testbed, and the estimated TTD by source of travel time variability was compared statistically to the corresponding empirical TTD. It was found that the HCM6 underestimated the TTD variability on the longer testbed by 67%. The demand component, missing variable(s), or both, which were not explicitly considered in the HCM6, were found to be the main source of the error in the HCM6 TTD. A focus on the demand estimators as the first step in improving the HCM6 TTR model was recommended.

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