Optimal Neuron Selection and Generalization: NK Ensemble Neural Networks

Author(s):  
Darrell Whitley ◽  
Renato Tinós ◽  
Francisco Chicano
Healthcare ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 181 ◽  
Author(s):  
Patricia Melin ◽  
Julio Cesar Monica ◽  
Daniela Sanchez ◽  
Oscar Castillo

In this paper, a multiple ensemble neural network model with fuzzy response aggregation for the COVID-19 time series is presented. Ensemble neural networks are composed of a set of modules, which are used to produce several predictions under different conditions. The modules are simple neural networks. Fuzzy logic is then used to aggregate the responses of several predictor modules, in this way, improving the final prediction by combining the outputs of the modules in an intelligent way. Fuzzy logic handles the uncertainty in the process of making a final decision about the prediction. The complete model was tested for the case of predicting the COVID-19 time series in Mexico, at the level of the states and the whole country. The simulation results of the multiple ensemble neural network models with fuzzy response integration show very good predicted values in the validation data set. In fact, the prediction errors of the multiple ensemble neural networks are significantly lower than using traditional monolithic neural networks, in this way showing the advantages of the proposed approach.


2019 ◽  
Vol 361 ◽  
pp. 196-211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Perales-González ◽  
Mariano Carbonero-Ruz ◽  
David Becerra-Alonso ◽  
Javier Pérez-Rodríguez ◽  
Francisco Fernández-Navarro

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nguyen ◽  
Starek ◽  
Tissot ◽  
Cai ◽  
Gibeaut

Digital elevation models (DEMs) have become ubiquitous and remarkably effective in the field of earth sciences as a tool to characterize surface topography. All DEMs have a degree of inherent error and uncertainty that is propagated to subsequent models and analyses, which can lead to misinterpretation and inaccurate estimates. A new method was developed to estimate local DEM errors and implement corrections while quantifying the uncertainties of the implemented corrections. The method is based on the flexibility and ability to model complex problems with ensemble neural networks (ENNs). The method was developed to be applied to any DEM created from a corresponding set of elevation points (point cloud) and a set of ground truth measurements. The method was developed and tested using hyperspatial resolution terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) data (sub-centimeter point spacing) collected from a marsh site located along the southern portion of the Texas Gulf Coast, USA. ENNs improve the overall DEM accuracy in the study area by 68% for six model inputs and by 75% for 12 model inputs corresponding to root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 0.056 and 0.045 m, respectively. The 12-input model provides more accurate tolerance interval estimates, particularly for vegetated areas. The accuracy of the method is confirmed based on an independent data set. Although the method still underestimates the 95% tolerance interval, 8% below the 95% target, results show that it is able to quantify the spatial variability in uncertainties due to a relationship between vegetation/land cover and accuracy of the DEM for the study area. There are still opportunities and challenges in improving and confirming the applicability of this method for different study sites and data sets.


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