Energy Demand Forecasting in China Based on Dynamic RBF Neural Network

Author(s):  
Dongqing Zhang ◽  
Kaiping Ma ◽  
Yuexia Zhao
2010 ◽  
Vol 20-23 ◽  
pp. 963-968
Author(s):  
Ming Meng ◽  
Dong Xiao Niu ◽  
Wei Sun ◽  
Wei Shang

Monthly electric energy demand forecasting plays an important role for the running of power system. China has two tow calendars and they works at the same time. Holidays designed by the lunar calendar affect the regularity of monthly electric load recorded only by the Gregorian one. The normal fuzzy transform is advanced here to quantitatively describe the impact of the Spring Festival and further divided the influence into Jan. and Feb. After excluding the influence, the amended historical data are adopted to training RBF neural network. Experiment results show that because the regularity of raw data is improved, the generalization ability and forecasting precise of RBF neural network are improved.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 2242 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alejandro J. del Real ◽  
Fernando Dorado ◽  
Jaime Durán

This paper investigates the use of deep learning techniques in order to perform energy demand forecasting. To this end, the authors propose a mixed architecture consisting of a convolutional neural network (CNN) coupled with an artificial neural network (ANN), with the main objective of taking advantage of the virtues of both structures: the regression capabilities of the artificial neural network and the feature extraction capacities of the convolutional neural network. The proposed structure was trained and then used in a real setting to provide a French energy demand forecast using Action de Recherche Petite Echelle Grande Echelle (ARPEGE) forecasting weather data. The results show that this approach outperforms the reference Réseau de Transport d’Electricité (RTE, French transmission system operator) subscription-based service. Additionally, the proposed solution obtains the highest performance score when compared with other alternatives, including Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and traditional ANN models. This opens up the possibility of achieving high-accuracy forecasting using widely accessible deep learning techniques through open-source machine learning platforms.


Author(s):  
Alejandro J. del Real ◽  
Fernando Dorado ◽  
Jaime Durán

This paper investigates the use of deep learning techniques to perform energy demand forecasting. Specifically, the authors have adapted a deep neural network originally thought for image classification and composed of a convolutional neural network (CNN) followed by a multilayered fully connected artificial neural network (ANN). The convolutional part of the network was fed with a grid of temperature forecasting data distributed in the area of interest in order to extract a featured temperature. The subsequent ANN is then fed with this calculated temperature along with other data related to the timing of the forecast. The proposed structure was first trained and then used in a real setting aimed to provide the French energy demand forecast using ARPEGE forecasting weather data. The results show that the performance of this approach is in the line of the performance provided by the reference RTE subscription-based service, which opens the possibility to obtain high accuracy forecasting using widely accessible deep learning techniques through open-source machine learning platforms.


2021 ◽  
Vol 651 (2) ◽  
pp. 022084
Author(s):  
Haoyu Wu ◽  
Jiaxin Ma ◽  
Chunyan Zhang ◽  
Hua Zhou ◽  
Shimin Bian ◽  
...  

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