Robust Markov Perfect Equilibria in a Dynamic Choice Model with Quasi-hyperbolic Discounting

Author(s):  
Łukasz Balbus ◽  
Anna Jaśkiewicz ◽  
Andrzej S. Nowak
Author(s):  
Anna Jaśkiewicz ◽  
Andrzej S. Nowak

AbstractWe study Markov decision processes with Borel state spaces under quasi-hyperbolic discounting. This type of discounting nicely models human behaviour, which is time-inconsistent in the long run. The decision maker has preferences changing in time. Therefore, the standard approach based on the Bellman optimality principle fails. Within a dynamic game-theoretic framework, we prove the existence of randomised stationary Markov perfect equilibria for a large class of Markov decision processes with transitions having a density function. We also show that randomisation can be restricted to two actions in every state of the process. Moreover, we prove that under some conditions, this equilibrium can be replaced by a deterministic one. For models with countable state spaces, we establish the existence of deterministic Markov perfect equilibria. Many examples are given to illustrate our results, including a portfolio selection model with quasi-hyperbolic discounting.


2014 ◽  
Vol 419 (2) ◽  
pp. 1322-1332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Jaśkiewicz ◽  
Andrzej S. Nowak

2012 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 42-51
Author(s):  
John Roberts ◽  
Peter Danaher ◽  
Ken Roberts ◽  
Alan Simpson

Abstract This article describes the application of a dynamic choice model of consumer preferences. It supported Jetstar, a subsidiary of Australia’s leading airline, QANTAS, to effectively and profitably compete in the low-cost carrier marketplace. The evolution of the Jetstar strategy is traced from its initial position through to its efforts to attain price competitiveness and service parity. The model helped service design and pricing initiatives to shift the perceived performance of Jetstar relative to its competitors. It further indicated how the airline could move market preferences towards areas in which it had competitive advantage. The Jetstar market share went from 14.0 % to 18.1 % during the first five quarterly waves of the research, while profits went from US $ 79 million 2006 / 07, before the study was commissioned, to US $ 124 million in 2008 / 09. Today, Jetstar remains the only successful low-cost offshoot of a full service airline in terms of shareholder returns


2014 ◽  
Vol 165 (1) ◽  
pp. 295-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Łukasz Balbus ◽  
Anna Jaśkiewicz ◽  
Andrzej S. Nowak

2014 ◽  
Vol 52 (5) ◽  
pp. 3228-3260 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abhishek Gupta ◽  
Ashutosh Nayyar ◽  
Cédric Langbort ◽  
Tamer Başar

2003 ◽  
Vol 93 (1) ◽  
pp. 87-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Hassler ◽  
José V Rodríguez Mora ◽  
Kjetil Storesletten ◽  
Fabrizio Zilibotti

This paper provides an analytical characterization of Markov perfect equilibria in a model with repeated voting, where agents vote over distortionary income redistribution. A key result is that the future constituency for redistributive policies depends positively on current redistribution, since this affects both private investments and the future distribution of voters. The model features multiple equilibria. In some equilibria, positive redistribution persists forever. In other equilibria, even a majority of beneficiaries of redistribution vote strategically so as to induce the end of the welfare state next period. Skill-biased technical change makes the survival of the welfare state less likely.


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