From the Discovery of Radiation Belts to Space Weather Perspectives

Author(s):  
Joseph F. Lemaire
Author(s):  
D. N. Baker ◽  
P. J. Erickson ◽  
J. F. Fennell ◽  
J. C. Foster ◽  
A. N. Jaynes ◽  
...  

Space Weather ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 15 (6) ◽  
pp. 742-745 ◽  
Author(s):  
Louis J. Lanzerotti ◽  
Daniel N. Baker

Space Weather ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 169-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. B. Horne ◽  
S. A. Glauert ◽  
N. P. Meredith ◽  
D. Boscher ◽  
V. Maget ◽  
...  

2005 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 3111-3113 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Tříska ◽  
A. Czapek ◽  
J. Chum ◽  
F. Hruška ◽  
J. Šimůnek ◽  
...  

Abstract. Data on solar array efficiency measured on board two Czech MAGION micro-satellites between August 1995 and June 2002, during the period of increasing and high solar activity, were used to study the space weather effects on photo-voltaic solar cells. A stronger degradation of the solar array was observed on MAGION-5 in comparison with MAGION-4. This fact can be explained by the essential difference between the two orbits. The MAGION-5 s/c was in the radiation belts more than 40% of the time, whereas the MAGION-4 was only present about 4% of the time. The experimental data refer to periods of low as well as high solar activity, with an enhanced occurrence of strong solar events. The evaluation of the data set covering a period of more than 6 years has shown that solar proton flares can have an almost immediate effect on the solar array efficiency. However, in the case of MAGION-5, an important role in solar cell degradation is played by the long-term effect of energetic particles in the radiation belts. Periods with a distinctly steeper decrease in the solar array output power were observed and can be explained by an increase of particle flux density in the radiation belts. Periods in slower decline of the solar array output power correspond to periods in low radiation belt indices based on the NOAA POES s/c data.


2017 ◽  
Vol 214 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
D. N. Baker ◽  
P. J. Erickson ◽  
J. F. Fennell ◽  
J. C. Foster ◽  
A. N. Jaynes ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Guillerme Bernoux ◽  
Antoine Brunet ◽  
Éric Buchlin ◽  
Miho Janvier ◽  
Angélica Sicard

The Ca  index is a time-integrated geomagnetic index that correlates well with the dynamics of high-energy electron fluxes in the outer radiation belts. Therefore Ca can be used as an indicator for the state of filling of the radiation belts for those electrons. Ca also has the advantage of being a ground-based measurement with extensive historical records. In this work, we propose a data-driven model to forecast Ca up to 24 hours in advance from near-Earth solar wind parameters. Our model relies mainly on a recurrent neural network architecture called Long Short Term Memory that has shown good performances in forecasting other geomagnetic indices in previous papers. Most implementation choices in this study were arbitrated from the point of view of a space system operator, including the data selection and split, the definition of a binary classification threshold, and the evaluation methodology. We evaluate our model (against a linear baseline) using both classical and novel (in the space weather field) measures. In particular, we use the Temporal Distortion Mix (TDM) to assess the propensity of two time series to exhibit time lags. We also evaluate the ability of our model to detect storm onsets during quiet periods. It is shown that our model has high overall accuracy, with evaluation measures deteriorating in a smooth and slow trend over time. However, using the TDM and binary classification forecast evaluation metrics, we show that the forecasts lose some of their usefulness in an operational context even for time horizons shorter than 6 hours. This behaviour was not observable when evaluating the model only with metrics such as the root-mean-square error or the Pearson linear correlation. Considering the physics of the problem, this result is not surprising and suggests that the use of more spatially remote data (such as solar imaging) could improve space weather forecasts.


Space Weather ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Anna Belehaki ◽  
Jean Lilensten ◽  
Toby Clark
Keyword(s):  

Space Weather ◽  
2003 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Robinson
Keyword(s):  

Space Weather ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. n/a-n/a
Author(s):  
Sarah Simpson
Keyword(s):  

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