On the value of perfect information and approximate solutions in convex stochastic two-stage optimization

Author(s):  
Karl Frauendorfer
1991 ◽  
Vol 67 (4) ◽  
pp. 384-388
Author(s):  
Peter Marshall

A decision analytic approach to assessing stand-level silvicultural decisions is illustrated using planting density and spacing decisions for coastal Douglas-fir (Pseudotsuga menziesii (Mirb.) Franco). Information from several stand projection procedures was combined into a single analysis. The value of "perfect information" was calculated as an indicator of the value of additional response information. The value of perfect information should not be used as the sole justification for gathering treatment response information because it fluctuated with the economic assumptions made and the alternatives evaluated. However, it provides a relative ranking of treatment response requirements and a means for quantifying the risk associated with silvicultural decisions. The decision analytic approach proved flexible as a means for combining growth response information from several sources into a compromise decision.


2008 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 1070-1080 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan B. Oostenbrink ◽  
Maiwenn J. Al ◽  
Mark Oppe ◽  
Maureen P.M.H. Rutten-van Mölken

2011 ◽  
Vol 474-476 ◽  
pp. 2325-2328
Author(s):  
Ying Sheng Su ◽  
Jian Fu Li ◽  
Jiang Wu ◽  
Peng Fei Ji

Different consumer demands different quality, which determines that existence of different quality of the same product is reasonable. The article uses two-stage game of fully non-perfect information. Through two-stage game analysis, the article concludes that whether new entrants should enter the market is not only related with the fixed cost of entry, the number of consumers and the highest taste of consumers, but also related to the quality choices of incumbents; after entrants enter the market, the choices of quality are decided by the quality choices of incumbents.


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