scholarly journals Timing in the presence of directional predictability: optimal stopping of skew Brownian motion

2017 ◽  
Vol 86 (2) ◽  
pp. 377-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis H. R. Alvarez E. ◽  
Paavo Salminen
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Skew Brownian Motion ◽  
Directional Predictability

On wald-type optimal stopping for Brownian motion

1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 66-73 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. E. Graversen ◽  
G. Peškir
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Maximal Inequality ◽  
Stopping Times ◽  
Standard Brownian Motion ◽  
Square Root ◽  
Real Analysis ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problems ◽  
Wald's Identity

The solution is presented to all optimal stopping problems of the form supτE(G(|Β τ |) – cτ), where is standard Brownian motion and the supremum is taken over all stopping times τ for B with finite expectation, while the map G : ℝ+ → ℝ satisfies for some being given and fixed. The optimal stopping time is shown to be the hitting time by the reflecting Brownian motion of the set of all (approximate) maximum points of the map . The method of proof relies upon Wald's identity for Brownian motion and simple real analysis arguments. A simple proof of the Dubins–Jacka–Schwarz–Shepp–Shiryaev (square root of two) maximal inequality for randomly stopped Brownian motion is given as an application.

Optimal Stopping of the Maximum Process

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (03) ◽  
pp. 818-836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luis H. R. Alvarez ◽  
Pekka Matomäki
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Free Boundary ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Original Problem ◽  
Alternative Route ◽  
Linear Diffusion ◽  
Maximum Process ◽  
Running Maximum ◽  
Parameterized Family ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problems

We consider a class of optimal stopping problems involving both the running maximum as well as the prevailing state of a linear diffusion. Instead of tackling the problem directly via the standard free boundary approach, we take an alternative route and present a parameterized family of standard stopping problems of the underlying diffusion. We apply this family to delineate circumstances under which the original problem admits a unique, well-defined solution. We then develop a discretized approach resulting in a numerical algorithm for solving the considered class of stopping problems. We illustrate the use of the algorithm in both a geometric Brownian motion and a mean reverting diffusion setting.

Bounds for the American perpetual put on a stock index

2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (01) ◽  
pp. 55-66 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Paulsen
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Geometric Brownian Motion ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Decomposition Technique ◽  
Early Exercise

Let us consider n stocks with dependent price processes each following a geometric Brownian motion. We want to investigate the American perpetual put on an index of those stocks. We will provide inner and outer boundaries for its early exercise region by using a decomposition technique for optimal stopping.

Optimal stopping and maximal inequalities for geometric Brownian motion

1998 ◽  
Vol 35 (04) ◽  
pp. 856-872 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. E. Graversen ◽  
G. Peskir
Keyword(s):  
Differential Equation ◽  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Moving Boundary ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Practical Interest ◽  
Maximal Inequality ◽  
Geometric Brownian Motion ◽  
Stopping Times ◽  
Image Position

Explicit formulas are found for the payoff and the optimal stopping strategy of the optimal stopping problem supτ E (max0≤t≤τ X t − c τ), where X = (X t ) t≥0 is geometric Brownian motion with drift μ and volatility σ > 0, and the supremum is taken over all stopping times for X. The payoff is shown to be finite, if and only if μ < 0. The optimal stopping time is given by τ* = inf {t > 0 | X t = g * (max0≤t≤s X s )} where s ↦ g *(s) is the maximal solution of the (nonlinear) differential equation under the condition 0 < g(s) < s, where Δ = 1 − 2μ / σ2 and K = Δ σ2 / 2c. The estimate is established g *(s) ∼ ((Δ − 1) / K Δ)1 / Δ s 1−1/Δ as s → ∞. Applying these results we prove the following maximal inequality: where τ may be any stopping time for X. This extends the well-known identity E (sup t>0 X t ) = 1 − (σ 2 / 2 μ) and is shown to be sharp. The method of proof relies upon a smooth pasting guess (for the Stephan problem with moving boundary) and the Itô–Tanaka formula (being applied two-dimensionally). The key point and main novelty in our approach is the maximality principle for the moving boundary (the optimal stopping boundary is the maximal solution of the differential equation obtained by a smooth pasting guess). We think that this principle is by itself of theoretical and practical interest.

scholarly journals Investing and Stopping

2014 ◽  
Vol 51 (4) ◽  
pp. 898-909
Author(s):  
Moritz Duembgen ◽  
L. C. G. Rogers
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Random Walk ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Numerical Scheme ◽  
Optimization Problem ◽  
Hedge Fund ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
Over Time

In this paper we solve the hedge fund manager's optimization problem in a model that allows for investors to enter and leave the fund over time depending on its performance. The manager's payoff at the end of the year will then depend not just on the terminal value of the fund level, but also on the lowest and the highest value reached over that time. We establish equivalence to an optimal stopping problem for Brownian motion; by approximating this problem with the corresponding optimal stopping problem for a random walk we are led to a simple and efficient numerical scheme to find the solution, which we then illustrate with some examples.

scholarly journals On the local time process of a skew Brownian motion

2019 ◽  
Vol 372 (5) ◽  
pp. 3597-3618 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrei Borodin ◽  
Paavo Salminen
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Local Time ◽  
Time Process ◽  
Skew Brownian Motion

Optimal stopping and maximal inequalities for geometric Brownian motion

1998 ◽  
Vol 35 (4) ◽  
pp. 856-872 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. E. Graversen ◽  
G. Peskir
Keyword(s):  
Differential Equation ◽  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Moving Boundary ◽  
Stopping Time ◽  
Practical Interest ◽  
Maximal Inequality ◽  
Geometric Brownian Motion ◽  
Stopping Times ◽  
Image Position

Explicit formulas are found for the payoff and the optimal stopping strategy of the optimal stopping problem supτE (max0≤t≤τXt − c τ), where X = (Xt)t≥0 is geometric Brownian motion with drift μ and volatility σ > 0, and the supremum is taken over all stopping times for X. The payoff is shown to be finite, if and only if μ < 0. The optimal stopping time is given by τ* = inf {t > 0 | Xt = g* (max0≤t≤sXs)} where s ↦ g*(s) is the maximal solution of the (nonlinear) differential equation under the condition 0 < g(s) < s, where Δ = 1 − 2μ / σ2 and K = Δ σ2 / 2c. The estimate is established g*(s) ∼ ((Δ − 1) / K Δ)1 / Δs1−1/Δ as s → ∞. Applying these results we prove the following maximal inequality: where τ may be any stopping time for X. This extends the well-known identity E (supt>0Xt) = 1 − (σ 2 / 2 μ) and is shown to be sharp. The method of proof relies upon a smooth pasting guess (for the Stephan problem with moving boundary) and the Itô–Tanaka formula (being applied two-dimensionally). The key point and main novelty in our approach is the maximality principle for the moving boundary (the optimal stopping boundary is the maximal solution of the differential equation obtained by a smooth pasting guess). We think that this principle is by itself of theoretical and practical interest.

A class of singular stochastic control problems

1983 ◽  
Vol 15 (02) ◽  
pp. 225-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ioannis Karatzas
Keyword(s):  
Brownian Motion ◽  
Optimal Stopping ◽  
Moving Boundary ◽  
Upper And Lower Bounds ◽  
Control Problems ◽  
Explicit Solutions ◽  
Value Functions ◽  
Singular Stochastic Control ◽  
Optimal Stopping Problem ◽  
The Third

We consider the problem of tracking a Brownian motion by a process of bounded variation, in such a way as to minimize total expected cost of both ‘action' and ‘deviation from a target state 0'. The former is proportional to the amount of control exerted to date, while the latter is being measured by a function which can be viewed, for simplicity, as quadratic. We discuss the discounted, stationary and finite-horizon variants of the problem. The answer to all three questions takes the form of exerting control in asingularmanner, in order not to exit from a certain region. Explicit solutions are found for the first and second questions, while the third is reduced to an appropriate optimal stopping problem. This reduction yields properties, as well as global upper and lower bounds, for the associated moving boundary. The pertinent Abelian and ergodic relationships for the corresponding value functions are also derived.

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