Estimation of parameters of finite seismic source model for selected event of West Bohemia year 2008 seismic swarm—methodology improvement and data extension

2015 ◽  
Vol 19 (4) ◽  
pp. 935-947 ◽  
Author(s):  
Petr Kolář
2005 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 248-256 ◽  
Author(s):  
S.A. Ketcham ◽  
M.L. Moran ◽  
J. Lacombe ◽  
R.J. Greenfield ◽  
T.S. Anderson

2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 1291-1296 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roger Musson

An objection sometimes made against treating the weights of logic tree branches as probabilities relates to the Kolmogorov axioms, but these are only an obstacle if one believes that logic tree branches represent a seismic source model or ground motion model as being “true.” Models are never true, but some models are better than others. It is argued here that a logic tree weight represents the probability that the model in question is better than the others considered. Only one branch can be the best one, and one branch must be the best one. It is also argued that there are situations in PSHA where uncertainty exists but the analyst lacks the means to express it. Therefore it is not necessarily the case that more information increases uncertainty; it may be that more information increases the possibility of expressing uncertainty that was previously unmanageable.


2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (15) ◽  
Author(s):  
I. El-Hussain ◽  
Y. Al-Shijbi ◽  
A. Deif ◽  
A. M. E. Mohamed ◽  
M. Ezzelarab

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Qian Xu ◽  
Zhong-Qi Wang

To reveal the characteristics and laws of the seismic wavefield amplitude-frequency excited by explosive source, the method for computing the seismic wave spectrum excited by explosive was studied in this paper. The model for calculating the seismic wave spectrum excited by explosive source was acquired by taking the seismic source model of spherical cavity as the basis. The results of using this model show that the main frequency and the bandwidth of the seismic waves caused by the explosion are influenced by the initial detonation pressure, the adiabatic expansion of the explosive, and the geotechnical parameters, which increase with the reduction of initial detonation pressure and the increase of the adiabatic expansion. The main frequency and the bandwidth of the seismic waves formed by the detonation of the explosives in the silt clay increase by 23.2% and 13.6% compared to those exploded in the silt. The research shows that the theoretical model built up in this study can describe the characteristics of the seismic wave spectrum excited by explosive in a comparatively accurate way.


2012 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
pp. 4_308-4_318
Author(s):  
Shinichi AKIYAMA ◽  
Kaoru KAWAJI ◽  
Mariko KORENAGA ◽  
Satoru FUJIHARA ◽  
Takahiro TAMIYA

1996 ◽  
Vol 86 (5) ◽  
pp. 1372-1381 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tianqing Cao ◽  
Mark D. Petersen ◽  
Michael S. Reichle

Abstract We analyzed the historical seismicity in southern California to develop a rational approach for calculating the seismic hazard from background seismicity of magnitude 6.5 or smaller. The basic assumption for the approach is that future earthquakes will be clustered spatially near locations of historical mainshocks of magnitudes equal to or greater than 4. We analyzed the declustered California seismicity catalog to compute the rate of earthquakes on a grid and then smoothed these rates to account for the spatial distribution of future earthquakes. To find a suitable spatial smoothing function, we studied the distance (r) correlation for southern California earthquakes and found that they follow a 1/rµ power-law relation, where µ increases with magnitude. This result suggests that larger events are more clustered in space than smaller earthquakes. Assuming the seismicity follows the Gutenberg-Richter distribution, we calculated peak ground accelerations (PGA) for 10% probability of exceedance in 50 yr. PGA estimates range between 0.25 and 0.35 g across much of southern California. These ground-motion levels are generally less than half the levels of hazard that are obtained using the entire seismic source model that also includes geologic and geodetic data. We also calculated the overall uncertainty for the hazard map using a Monte Carlo method and found that the coefficient of variation is about 0.24 ± 0.01 for much of the region.


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