Semiparametric analysis of multivariate panel count data with nonlinear interactions

Author(s):  
Weiwei Wang ◽  
Yijun Wang ◽  
Xiaobing Zhao
2021 ◽  
pp. 263208432199622
Author(s):  
Tim Mathes ◽  
Oliver Kuss

Background Meta-analysis of systematically reviewed studies on interventions is the cornerstone of evidence based medicine. In the following, we will introduce the common-beta beta-binomial (BB) model for meta-analysis with binary outcomes and elucidate its equivalence to panel count data models. Methods We present a variation of the standard “common-rho” BB (BBST model) for meta-analysis, namely a “common-beta” BB model. This model has an interesting connection to fixed-effect negative binomial regression models (FE-NegBin) for panel count data. Using this equivalence, it is possible to estimate an extension of the FE-NegBin with an additional multiplicative overdispersion term (RE-NegBin), while preserving a closed form likelihood. An advantage due to the connection to econometric models is, that the models can be easily implemented because “standard” statistical software for panel count data can be used. We illustrate the methods with two real-world example datasets. Furthermore, we show the results of a small-scale simulation study that compares the new models to the BBST. The input parameters of the simulation were informed by actually performed meta-analysis. Results In both example data sets, the NegBin, in particular the RE-NegBin showed a smaller effect and had narrower 95%-confidence intervals. In our simulation study, median bias was negligible for all methods, but the upper quartile for median bias suggested that BBST is most affected by positive bias. Regarding coverage probability, BBST and the RE-NegBin model outperformed the FE-NegBin model. Conclusion For meta-analyses with binary outcomes, the considered common-beta BB models may be valuable extensions to the family of BB models.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Muhammad Anus Hayat Khan ◽  
Ijaz Hussain

Each year more than three thousand people die and get serious injuries in traffic accidents. Count data model provide more precise tools for planners and decision makers to conduct proactive road safety planning.We analyzed the exploratory research of Road Traffic Accidents (RTAs) and furthermore explores the factors affecting the RTAs frequency in 36 districts of the Punjab over a time period of three years (July 1, 2013 June 30, 2016) with monthly data using panel count data models. Among the models considered, the random parameters Poisson panel count data model is found to fit the data best. The exploratory analysis shows that highly dense populated districts with large number of registered vehicles causes more accidents as compared to low density populated districts. It is found that, most of the variables used to control the variation in the frequency of RTAs counts play vital role with higher significance levels. The application of regression analysis and modeling of RTAs at district level in Punjab will help to identification of districts with high RTAs rates and this could help more efficient road safety management in the Punjab.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Guanglei Yu

[ACCESS RESTRICTED TO THE UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI AT AUTHOR'S REQUEST.] Recurrent event data and panel count data are two common types of data that have been studied extensively in event history studies in literature. By recurrent event data, we mean that subjects are observed continuously in the follow-up study and thus occurrence times of recurrent events of interest are available. For panel count data, subjects are monitored periodically at discrete observation times and thus only numbers of recurrent events between two subsequent observations are recorded. In addition, one may face mixed panel count data in practice, which are the mixture of recurrent event data and panel count data. They arise when each study subject may be observed continuously during the whole study period, continuously over some study periods and at some time points otherwise, or only at some discrete time points. That is, these mixed data provide complete or incomplete information on the recurrent event process over different time periods for different subjects. It is well-known that in panel count data, the observation process may carry information on the underlying recurrent event process and the censoring may also be dependent in practice. Under such circumstance, the first part of this dissertation will discuss regression analysis of panel count data with informative observations and drop-outs. For the problem, a general means model is presented that can allow both additive and multiplicative effects of covariates on the underlying recurrent event process. In addition, the proportional rates model and the accelerated failure time model are employed to describe the covariate effects on the observation process and the dropout or follow-up process, respectively. For estimation of regression parameters, some estimating equation-based procedures are developed and the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established. In addition, a resampling approach is proposed for the estimation of the covariance matrix of the proposed estimator and a model checking procedure is also provided. The results from an extensive simulation study indicate that the proposed methodology works well for practical situations and it is applied to a motivated set of real data from the Childhood Cancer Survivor Study (CCSS) given in Section 1.1.2.2. In the second part of this dissertation, we will consider regression analysis of mixed panel count data. One major problem in the statistical inference on the mixed data is to combine these two different types of data structures. Since panel count data can be viewed as interval-censored recurrent event data with exact occurrence times of events of interest unobserved or missing, they may be augmented by filling in those missing data by imputation. Then the mixed data can be converted to recurrent event data on which the existing statistical inference method can be easily implemented. Motivated by this, a multiple imputation-based estimation approach is proposed. A simulation study is conducted to study the finite-sample properties of the proposed methodology and it shows that the proposed method is more efficient than the existing method. Also, an illustrative example from the CCSS is provided. The third part of this dissertation still considers regression analysis of mixed panel count data but in the presence of a dependent terminal event, which precludes further occurrence of either recurrent events of interest or observations. For this problem, we present a marginal modeling approach which acknowledges the fact that there will be no more recurrent events after the terminal event and leaves the correlation structure unspecified. To estimate the parameters of interest, an estimating equation-based procedure is developed and the inverse probability of survival weighting technique is used. Asymptotic properties of proposed estimators are also established and finite-sample properties are assessed in a simulation study. We again apply this proposed methodology to the CCSS. In the last part of this dissertation, we will discuss some work directions of the future research.


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