A United States national prioritization framework for tree species vulnerability to climate change

New Forests ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 48 (2) ◽  
pp. 275-300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kevin M. Potter ◽  
Barbara S. Crane ◽  
William W. Hargrove
2018 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 267
Author(s):  
Lesley Hughes

‘The Greenhouse Effect and Nature Reserves’ by Robert Peters and Joan Darling, published in the journal Bioscience more than 30 years ago, was a ground-breaking synthesis. Drawing on paleoecology, community ecology and biogeography, the review laid out many concepts about species vulnerability to climate change that have become central tenets of research on climate change adaptation in natural ecosystems. Remarkably, the paper also provided a clear and logical framework for flexible, forward-thinking and interventionist management action, including recommendations about the design of protected areas, and the need for species translocation to reduce extinction risk. Reflecting on the legacy of this paper, it is clear that the uptake of such approaches over the intervening decades has been extremely slow, representing many lost opportunities to reduce species vulnerability to rapid environmental change. This paper is a tribute to the prescience of Peters and Darling, and a call to revisit their farsighted advice to meet conservation challenges that continue to accelerate.


Author(s):  
Andrew V. Gougherty ◽  
Stephen R. Keller ◽  
Vikram E. Chhatre ◽  
Matthew C. Fitzpatrick

ABSTRACTA central challenge to predicting climate change effects on biodiversity is integrating information on intraspecific variation, specifically population-level local adaptation to climate. Assessing how climate change could disrupt local adaptation to climate can provide a new way of understanding population risk and vulnerability to climate change. For the wide-ranging boreal tree species, balsam poplar (Populus balsamifera L.), we used models of existing population-level genetic differentiation to estimate three key components of population’s vulnerability to climate change: (1) predicted shifts in genetic composition with and without migration, (2) the potential for future novel gene-climate associations, and (3) the distance populations would need to migrate to minimize future maladaptation. When assessed across the range of balsam poplar, these three metrics suggest that vulnerability to climate change is greatest in the eastern portion of balsam poplar’s range, where future maladaptation peaked, migration distances to sites that minimized maladaptation were greatest, and the emergence of novel gene-climate associations were highest. Our results further suggest greater maladaptation to climate when migration distances were limited – consistent with the possibility of migration to lessen maladaptation to future climate. Our work provides a comprehensive evaluation of population’s vulnerability to climate change by simultaneously assessing population maladaptation to future climate and the distances populations would need to migrate to minimize maladaptation, in a way that goes beyond species-level bioclimatic modelling. In doing so, our work helps advance towards the long-held goal of incorporating genomic information in models of species responses to climate change.


2011 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 189-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennifer E. Davison ◽  
Sharon Coe ◽  
Deborah Finch ◽  
Erika Rowland ◽  
Megan Friggens ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 135 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 585-595 ◽  
Author(s):  
Adriano Mazziotta ◽  
María Triviño ◽  
Olli-Pekka Tikkanen ◽  
Jari Kouki ◽  
Harri Strandman ◽  
...  

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