The scientific foundation of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models

Public Choice ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 144 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 413-443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul De Grauwe
2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (3) ◽  
pp. 113-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lawrence J. Christiano ◽  
Martin S. Eichenbaum ◽  
Mathias Trabandt

The outcome of any important macroeconomic policy change is the net effect of forces operating on different parts of the economy. A central challenge facing policymakers is how to assess the relative strength of those forces. Economists have a range of tools that can be used to make such assessments. Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models are the leading tool for making such assessments in an open and transparent manner. We review the state of mainstream DSGE models before the financial crisis and the Great Recession. We then describe how DSGE models are estimated and evaluated. We address the question of why DSGE modelers—like most other economists and policymakers—failed to predict the financial crisis and the Great Recession, and how DSGE modelers responded to the financial crisis and its aftermath. We discuss how current DSGE models are actually used by policymakers. We then provide a brief response to some criticisms of DSGE models, with special emphasis on criticism by Joseph Stiglitz, and offer some concluding remarks.


2011 ◽  
Vol 16 (3) ◽  
pp. 472-476 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jürgen Antony ◽  
Alfred Maußner

This note extends the findings of Benhabib and Rusticchini [Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control 18, 807–813 (1994)], who provide a class of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models whose solution is characterized by a constant savings rate. We show that this class of models may be interpreted as a standard–representative agent DSGE model with costly adjustment of capital.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Glaciel

As can be seen in Richter and Wong (1999), non-computability of general equilibrium has been recognized in economics. However, despite general non-computability, equilibrium can indeed be computed in specific cases. In this paper, further restriction on computability of equilibrium is provided in contexts of dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with heterogeneous agents, demonstrating that non-computability concerns apply more generally than often understood.


2014 ◽  
Vol 59 (201) ◽  
pp. 35-68
Author(s):  
Branko Urosevic ◽  
Nikola Grga

This paper proposes a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model for the Serbian economy. It is a modification of the existing models of Goodhart, Osorio and Tsomocos (2009) and Martinez and Tsomocos (2012). The model introduces important features of the Serbian economy, financial dollarization and foreign ownership of the banking system, while retaining the most important element of the reference models, financial friction. To solve the model we use Dynare, a specialized Matlab program for solving DSGE models. The model is subject to three different shocks: monetary, productivity, and regulatory, and the results are presented in the form of impulse response functions. It is concluded that the proposed platform has good characteristics, but its complete application to the case of the Serbian economy requires further research.


Author(s):  
Michel Juillard

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models have become popular in macroeconomics, but the combination of nonlinear microeconomic behavior of the agents and model-consistent expectations raise intricate computational issues; this chapter reviews solution methods and estimation of DSGE models. Perfect foresight deterministic models can easily be solved with a great degree of accuracy. In practice, medium-sized stochastic models can only be solved by local approximation or the perturbation approach. The Bayesian approach to estimation is privileged. It provides a convenient way to communicate both the prior information available to the econo-metrician and new information revealed by the data. This chapter focuses on methods frequently used in applied work rather than aiming at being exhaustive.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (279) ◽  
Author(s):  
Benjamin Hunt ◽  
Susanna Mursula ◽  
Rafael Portillo ◽  
Marika Santoro

In this paper, we investigate the mechanisms through which import tariffs impact the macroeconomy in two large scale workhorse models used for quantitative policy analysis: a computational general equilibrium (CGE) model (Purdue University GTAP model) and a multi-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model (IMF GIMF model). The quantitative effects of an increase in tariffs reflect different mechanisms at work. Like other models in the trade literature, in GTAP higher tariffs generate a loss in terms of output arising from an inefficient reallocation of resources between sectors. In GIMF instead, as in other DSGE models, tariffs act as a disincentive to factor utilization. We show that the two models/channels can be broadly interpreted as capturing the impact of tariffs on different components of a country’s aggregate production function: aggregate productivity (GTAP) and factor supply/utilization (GIMF). We discuss ways to combine the estimates from these two models to provide a more complete assessment of the macro effects of tariffs.


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