scholarly journals Nursing rescheduling problem with multiple rescheduling methods under uncertainty

Author(s):  
Zhiren Long ◽  
Xianxiu Wen ◽  
Mei Lan ◽  
Yongjian Yang

AbstractThe nursing rescheduling problem is a challenging decision-making task in hospitals. However, this decision-making needs to be made in a stochastic setting to meet uncertain demand with insufficient historical data or inaccurate forecasting methods. In this study, a stochastic programming model and a distributionally robust model are developed for the nurse rescheduling problem with multiple rescheduling methods under uncertain demands. We show that these models can be reformulated into an integer program. To illustrate the applicability and validity of the proposed model, a study case is conducted on three joint hospitals in Chengdu, Chongzhou, and Guanghan, Sichuan Province. The results show that the stochastic programming model and the distributionally robust model can reduce the cost by 78.71% and 38.92%, respectively. We also evaluate the benefit of the distributionally robust model against the stochastic model and perform sensitivity analysis on important model parameters to derive some meaningful managerial insights.

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. K. Barik ◽  
M. P. Biswal ◽  
D. Chakravarty

Most of the real-life decision-making problems have more than one conflicting and incommensurable objective functions. In this paper, we present a multiobjective two-stage stochastic linear programming problem considering some parameters of the linear constraints as interval type discrete random variables with known probability distribution. Randomness of the discrete intervals are considered for the model parameters. Further, the concepts of best optimum and worst optimum solution are analyzed in two-stage stochastic programming. To solve the stated problem, first we remove the randomness of the problem and formulate an equivalent deterministic linear programming model with multiobjective interval coefficients. Then the deterministic multiobjective model is solved using weighting method, where we apply the solution procedure of interval linear programming technique. We obtain the upper and lower bound of the objective function as the best and the worst value, respectively. It highlights the possible risk involved in the decision-making tool. A numerical example is presented to demonstrate the proposed solution procedure.


Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 885 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bin Xu ◽  
Ping-An Zhong ◽  
Baoyi Du ◽  
Juan Chen ◽  
Weifeng Liu ◽  
...  

In a deregulated electricity market, optimal hydropower operation should be achieved through informed decisions to facilitate the delivery of energy production in forward markets and energy purchase level from other power producers within real-time markets. This study develops a stochastic programming model that considers the influence of uncertain streamflow on hydropower energy production and the effect of variable spot energy prices on the cost of energy purchase (energy shortfall). The proposed model is able to handle uncertainties expressed by both a probability distribution and discretized scenarios. Conflicting decisions are resolved by maximizing the expected value of net revenue, which jointly considers benefit and cost terms under uncertainty. Methodologies are verified using a case study of the Three Gorges cascade hydropower system. The results demonstrate that optimal operation policies are derived based upon systematic evaluations on the benefit and cost terms that are affected by multiple uncertainties. Moreover, near-optimal operation policy under the case of inaccurate spot price forecasts is also analyzed. The results also show that a proper policy for guiding hydropower operation seeks the best compromise between energy production and energy purchase levels, which explores their nonlinear tradeoffs over different time periods.


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