Inverse analysis method using MPP-based dimension reduction for reliability-based design optimization of nonlinear and multi-dimensional systems

2008 ◽  
Vol 198 (1) ◽  
pp. 14-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ikjin Lee ◽  
K.K. Choi ◽  
Liu Du ◽  
David Gorsich
Author(s):  
Liu Du ◽  
Kyung K. Choi

Structural analysis and design optimization have recently been extended to consider various uncertainties. If the statistical data for the uncertainties are sufficient to construct the input distribution function, the uncertainties can be treated as random variables and RBDO is used; otherwise, the uncertainties can be treated as fuzzy variables and PBDO is used. However, many structural design problems include both uncertainties with sufficient data and uncertainties with insufficient data. For these problems, RBDO will yield an unreliable design since the distribution functions of uncertainties are not believable. On the other hand, treating the random variables as fuzzy variables and invoking PBDO may yield too conservative design with a higher optimum cost. This paper proposes a new design formulation using the performance measure approach (PMA). For the inverse analysis, this paper proposes a new most probable/possible point (MPPP) search method called maximal failure search (MFS), which is an integration of the enhanced hybrid mean value method (HMV+) and maximal possibility search (MPS) method. Some mathematical and physical examples are used to demonstrate the proposed inverse analysis method and design formulation.


Author(s):  
Yongsu Jung ◽  
Hyunkyoo Cho ◽  
Ikjin Lee

The conventional most probable point (MPP)-based dimension reduction method (DRM) and following researches show high accuracy in reliability analysis and thus have been successfully applied to reliability-based design optimization (RBDO). However, improvement in accuracy usually leads to reduction in efficiency. The MPP-based DRM is certainly better from the perspective of accuracy than first-order reliability methods (FORM). However, it requires additional function evaluations which could require heavy computational cost such as finite element analysis (FEA) to improve accuracy of probability of failure estimation. Therefore, in this paper, we propose MPP-based approximated DRM (ADRM) that performs one more approximation at MPP to maintain accuracy of DRM with efficiency of FORM. In the proposed method, performance functions will be approximated in original X-space with simplified bivariate DRM and linear regression using available function information such as gradients obtained during the previous MPP searches. Therefore, evaluation of quadrature points can be replaced by the proposed approximation. In this manner, we eliminate function evaluations at quadrature points for reliability analysis, so that the proposed method requires function evaluations for MPP search only, which is identical with FORM. In RBDO where sequential reliability analyses in different design points are necessary, ADRM becomes more powerful due to accumulated function information, which will lead to more accurate approximation. To further improve efficiency of the proposed method, several techniques, such as local window and adaptive initial point, are proposed as well. Numerical study verifies that the proposed method is as accurate as DRM and as efficient as FORM by utilizing available function information obtained during MPP searches.


Author(s):  
Pingfeng Wang ◽  
Byeng D. Youn ◽  
Lee J. Wells

In the last decade, considerable advances have been made in Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO). It is assumed in RBDO that statistical information of input uncertainties is completely known (aleatory uncertainty), such as a distribution type and its parameters (e.g., mean, deviation). However, this assumption is not valid in practical engineering applications, since the amount of uncertainty data is restricted mainly due to limited resources (e.g., man-power, expense, time). In practical engineering design, most data sets for system uncertainties are insufficiently sampled from unknown statistical distributions, known as epistemic uncertainty. Existing methods in uncertainty based design optimization have difficulty in handling both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. To tackle design problems engaging both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties, this paper proposes an integration of RBDO with Bayes Theorem, referred to as Bayesian Reliability-Based Design Optimization (Bayesian RBDO). However, when a design problem involves a large number of epistemic variables, Bayesian RBDO becomes extremely expensive. Thus, this paper presents a more efficient and accurate numerical method for reliability method demanded in the process of Bayesian RBDO. It is found that the Eigenvector Dimension Reduction (EDR) Method is a very efficient and accurate method for reliability analysis, since the method takes a sensitivity-free approach with only 2n+1 analyses, where n is the number of aleatory random parameters. One mathematical example and an engineering design example (vehicle suspension system) are used to demonstrate the feasibility of Bayesian RBDO. In Bayesian RBDO using the EDR method, random parameters associated with manufacturing variability are considered as the aleatory random parameters, whereas random parameters associated with the load variability are regarded as the epistemic random parameters. Moreover, a distributed computing system is used for this study.


2009 ◽  
Vol 131 (5) ◽  
Author(s):  
Geng Zhang ◽  
Efstratios Nikolaidis ◽  
Zissimos P. Mourelatos

Probabilistic analysis and design of large-scale structures requires repeated finite-element analyses of large models, and each analysis is expensive. This paper presents a methodology for probabilistic analysis and reliability-based design optimization of large-scale structures that consists of two re-analysis methods, one for estimating the deterministic vibratory response and another for estimating the probability of the response exceeding a certain level. The deterministic re-analysis method can analyze efficiently large-scale finite-element models consisting of tens or hundreds of thousand degrees of freedom and design variables that vary in a wide range. The probabilistic re-analysis method calculates very efficiently the system reliability for different probability distributions of the random variables by performing a single Monte Carlo simulation of one design. The methodology is demonstrated on probabilistic vibration analysis and reliability-based design optimization of a realistic vehicle model. It is shown that the computational cost of the proposed re-analysis method for a single reliability analysis is about 1/20 of the cost of the same analysis using MSC/NASTRAN. Moreover, the probabilistic re-analysis approach enables a designer to perform reliability-based design optimization of the vehicle at a cost almost equal to that of a single reliability analysis. Without using the probabilistic re-analysis approach, it would be impractical to perform reliability-based design optimization of the vehicle.


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