Short-term wind speed prediction using an extreme learning machine model with error correction

2018 ◽  
Vol 162 ◽  
pp. 239-250 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lili Wang ◽  
Xin Li ◽  
Yulong Bai
2013 ◽  
Vol 860-863 ◽  
pp. 361-367 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi Hui Zhang ◽  
He Wang ◽  
Zhi Jian Hu ◽  
Kai Wang ◽  
Yan Li ◽  
...  

This paper studied the short-term prediction of wind speed by means of wavelet decomposition and Extreme Learning Machine. Wind speed signal was decomposed into several sequences by wavelet decomposition to reduce the non-stationary. Secondly, the phase space reconstructed was used to mine sequences characteristics, and then an improved extreme learning machine model of each component was established. Finally, the results of each component forecast superimposed to get the final result. The simulation result verified that the hybrid model effectively improved the wind speed prediction accuracy.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Hong Xu ◽  
Wan-Yu Wang

Typhoon wind speed prediction is of great significance for it can help prevent wind farms from damages caused by frequent typhoon disasters in coastal areas. However, most researches on wind forecast are either for meteorological application or for normal weather. Therefore, this paper proposes a systematic method based on numerical wind field and extreme learning machine for typhoon wind speed prediction of wind farms. The proposed method mainly consists of three parts, IGA-YanMeng typhoon numerical simulation model, typhoon status prediction model, and wind speed simulation model based on an extreme learning machine. The IGA-YanMeng typhoon numerical simulation model can greatly enrich typhoon wind speed data according to historical typhoon parameters. The typhoon status prediction model can predict the status of typhoons studied in the next few hours. And wind speed simulation model simulates the average wind speed magnitude/direction at 10 m height of each turbine in the farm according to the predicted status. The end of this paper presents a case study on a wind farm located in Guangdong province that suffered from the super typhoon Mangkhut landed in 2018. The results verified the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.


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