Multi-stage scenario generation by the combined moment matching and scenario reduction method

2014 ◽  
Vol 42 (5) ◽  
pp. 374-377 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uladzimir Rubasheuski ◽  
Johan Oppen ◽  
David L. Woodruff
Measurement ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 139 ◽  
pp. 226-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Junchao Guo ◽  
Dong Zhen ◽  
Haiyang Li ◽  
Zhanqun Shi ◽  
Fengshou Gu ◽  
...  

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (20) ◽  
pp. 4262 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sitong Lv ◽  
Jianguo Li ◽  
Yongxin Guo ◽  
Zhong Shi

In recent years, distributed generation (DG) technology has developed rapidly. Renewable energy, represented by wind energy and solar energy, has been widely studied and utilized. In order to give full play to the advantages of distributed generation and to meet the challenges of DG access to the power grid, the multi-scenario analysis method commonly used in DG optimal allocation method is studied in this paper. In order to solve the problems that may arise from using large-scale scenes in the planning of DG considering uncertainties by using multi-scene analysis method, the cluster analysis method suitable for large-scale scene reduction in scene reduction method is introduced firstly, and then an improved clustering algorithm is proposed. The validity of the scene reduction method is tested, and the feasibility of the reduction method is verified. Finally, the method mentioned in this paper is compared with other commonly used methods through IEEE-33 node system.


Author(s):  
Xinbo Qian ◽  
Qiuhua Tang ◽  
Bo Tao

Condition-based maintenance (CBM) optimization involves considering inherent uncertainties and external uncertainties. Since computational complexity increases exponentially with the number of degradation uncertainties and stages, scenario reduction aims to select small set of typical scenarios which can maintain the probability distributions of outputs of possible scenarios. A novel scenario reduction method, 3D-outputs-clustering scenario reduction (3DOCS), is presented by considering the impacts of uncertainty parameters on the output performance for CBM optimization which have been overlooked. Since the output performance for CBM is much more essential than the inputs, the proposed scenario reduction method reduces degradation scenarios by [Formula: see text]-means clustering of the multiple outputs of degradations scenarios for CBM. It minimizes the probabilistic distribution distances of outputs between original and selected scenarios. Case studies show that 3DOCS has advantages as a smaller distance of output performance of selected scenarios compared to that of initial scenarios.


Author(s):  
Ming-da ZHU ◽  
Na LIU ◽  
Hua GAO ◽  
Yun-feng BAI ◽  
Dai-gang YANG ◽  
...  

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