Stakeholder inclusion in scenario planning—A review of European projects

Application of the Flusurge 2.0 methodology to predict the needs of conventional hospital treatment, intensive care, and respiratory support resources as a consequence of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) in several countries. Different countries of the following continents have been selected: Europe, Asia, Africa, North America, South America, and Oceania. Variables: Total population and age distribution; Number of COVID19 infections; Number of deaths from COVID19; Number of non-ICU hospital beds; Number of ICU beds; Number of ventilators. Method: The proposed possible scenario planning is based on the application of FluSurge 2.0 Software, developed by The Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security (CHS/CDC). Saturation of conventional hospitalization is expected in India, Uganda, Nepal, and Haiti; there is a forecast of saturation for ICU beds in all sample countries except Turkey. Ventilator saturation is expected in all countries of the sample except Argentina, Austria, Brazil, France, United Kingdom, Japan, South Korea, Norway, Poland, Turkey and the USA. The model shows, for a percentage greater than 50% of the countries, difficulties related to the saturation of their ICU units, and the use of ventilators.

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Participatory scenario planning to facilitate human‐wildlife coexistence

Conservation Biology ◽

10.1111/cobi.13725 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Tolera Senbeto Jiren ◽

Maraja Riechers ◽

Ruth Kansky ◽

Joern Fischer

Keyword(s):

Scenario Planning

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Scenario Planning for Vocational and Adult Education

European Journal of Education ◽

10.1080/01418219999403 ◽

1999 ◽

Vol 34 (2) ◽

pp. 153-175 ◽

Cited By ~ 2

Author(s):

Fons Van Wieringen

Keyword(s):

Adult Education ◽

Scenario Planning

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Toward Inclusive Landscape Governance in Contested Landscapes: Exploring the Contribution of Participatory Tools in the Upper Suriname River Basin

Environmental Management ◽

10.1007/s00267-021-01504-8 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Lisa Best ◽

Kimberley Fung-Loy ◽

Nafiesa Ilahibaks ◽

Sara O. I. Ramirez-Gomez ◽

Erika N. Speelman

Keyword(s):

Land Use ◽

River Basin ◽

Scenario Planning ◽

Community Members ◽

Trade Off ◽

3 Dimensional ◽

Landscape Governance ◽

Information Tools ◽

Tribal Communities ◽

Trade Offs

AbstractNowadays, tropical forest landscapes are commonly characterized by a multitude of interacting institutions and actors with competing land-use interests. In these settings, indigenous and tribal communities are often marginalized in landscape-level decision making. Inclusive landscape governance inherently integrates diverse knowledge systems, including those of indigenous and tribal communities. Increasingly, geo-information tools are recognized as appropriate tools to integrate diverse interests and legitimize the voices, values, and knowledge of indigenous and tribal communities in landscape governance. In this paper, we present the contribution of the integrated application of three participatory geo-information tools to inclusive landscape governance in the Upper Suriname River Basin in Suriname: (i) Participatory 3-Dimensional Modelling, (ii) the Trade-off! game, and (iii) participatory scenario planning. The participatory 3-dimensional modelling enabled easy participation of community members, documentation of traditional, tacit knowledge and social learning. The Trade-off! game stimulated capacity building and understanding of land-use trade-offs. The participatory scenario planning exercise helped landscape actors to reflect on their own and others’ desired futures while building consensus. Our results emphasize the importance of systematically considering tool attributes and key factors, such as facilitation, for participatory geo-information tools to be optimally used and fit with local contexts. The results also show how combining the tools helped to build momentum and led to diverse yet complementary insights, thereby demonstrating the benefits of integrating multiple tools to address inclusive landscape governance issues.

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