Numerical Weather and Climate Prediction

Author(s):  
Thomas Tomkins Warner
2018 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 663-684 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gianmarco Mengaldo ◽  
Andrzej Wyszogrodzki ◽  
Michail Diamantakis ◽  
Sarah-Jane Lock ◽  
Francis X. Giraldo ◽  
...  

2002 ◽  
Vol 30 (11) ◽  
pp. 2433-2439 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Ohring ◽  
S. Lord ◽  
J. Derber ◽  
K. Mitchell ◽  
M. Ji

Author(s):  
Tommaso Benacchio ◽  
Luca Bonaventura ◽  
Mirco Altenbernd ◽  
Chris D Cantwell ◽  
Peter D Düben ◽  
...  

Progress in numerical weather and climate prediction accuracy greatly depends on the growth of the available computing power. As the number of cores in top computing facilities pushes into the millions, increased average frequency of hardware and software failures forces users to review their algorithms and systems in order to protect simulations from breakdown. This report surveys hardware, application-level and algorithm-level resilience approaches of particular relevance to time-critical numerical weather and climate prediction systems. A selection of applicable existing strategies is analysed, featuring interpolation-restart and compressed checkpointing for the numerical schemes, in-memory checkpointing, user-level failure mitigation and backup-based methods for the systems. Numerical examples showcase the performance of the techniques in addressing faults, with particular emphasis on iterative solvers for linear systems, a staple of atmospheric fluid flow solvers. The potential impact of these strategies is discussed in relation to current development of numerical weather prediction algorithms and systems towards the exascale. Trade-offs between performance, efficiency and effectiveness of resiliency strategies are analysed and some recommendations outlined for future developments.


2014 ◽  
Vol 41 (16) ◽  
pp. 5891-5896 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xing Yuan ◽  
Eric F. Wood ◽  
Miaoling Liang

Author(s):  
Sarah N ◽  
Robert S ◽  
Pallav Ray ◽  
Katherine Chen ◽  
Angie Lassman ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheikh Dione ◽  
Mame Diarra Diouf ◽  
Bob Alex Ogwang ◽  
Elijah Adesanya Adefisan ◽  
Steve Woolnough ◽  
...  

<p> The alternation of seasons over tropical northern Africa is associated with the occurrence of devastating diseases such as meningitis, Lassa fever and malaria. These tropical diseases are associated with specific atmospheric conditions. Thus, meningitis is one of the most endemic diseases observed over this region with a prevalence period up to 7 months (December-June). Previous studies based on the link between atmospheric conditions and the occurrence of meningitis outbreaks have shown that this disease develops under dry and dusty atmospheric conditions which are difficult to represent in numerical weather and climate models. However, the onset, breakup, and sub-seasonal variability of meningitis outbreaks are not well documented. The objective of this study is to identify the local and synoptic drivers favoring the large occurrence of this disease over the meningitis belt in order to improve its predictability by numerical weather and climate models on intra-seasonal and seasonal timescales. This study focuses on two cases studies of meningitis epidemics over Niger in 2009 and 2015. The case study of 2009 started early with a duration of more than eight weeks. The second case study was shorter than the first one. It took three weeks and was observed at the end of the dry season. Based on ERA5 data, surface dust concentration observations and satellite data, a further analysis of the role of climate metrics on the triggering of meningitis epidemics on intra-seasonal timescales at local and large scale atmospheric conditions will be presented.</p>


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