EXACT LOCAL WHITTLE ESTIMATION IN LONG MEMORY TIME SERIES WITH MULTIPLE POLES

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 1064-1098 ◽  
Author(s):  
Josu Arteche
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Unit Roots ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Production Index ◽  
Whittle Estimation ◽  
Memory Time ◽  
Local Whittle Estimator ◽  
Consistency And Asymptotic Normality ◽  
Multiple Poles

A generalization of the Exact Local Whittle estimator in Shimotsu and Phillips (2005, Annals of Statistics 33, 1890–1933) is proposed for jointly estimating all the memory parameters in general long memory time series that possibly display standard, seasonal, and/or other cyclical strong persistence. Consistency and asymptotic normality are proven for stationary, nonstationary, and noninvertible series, permitting straightforward standard inference of interesting hypotheses such as the existence of unit roots and equality of memory parameters at some or all seasonal frequencies, which can be used as a prior test for the application of seasonal differencing filters. The effects of unknown deterministic terms are also discussed. Finally, the finite sample performance is analyzed in an extensive Monte Carlo exercise and an application to an U.S. Industrial Production index.

scholarly journals Confidence Regions for Parameters in Stationary Time Series Models With Gaussian Noise

2022 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiuzhen Zhang ◽  
Riquan Zhang ◽  
Zhiping Lu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Empirical Likelihood ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Score Function ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Confidence Regions ◽  
Stationary Time Series ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Finite Sample ◽  
Memory Time

This article develops two new empirical likelihood methods for long-memory time series models based on adjusted empirical likelihood and mean empirical likelihood. By application of Whittle likelihood, one obtains a score function that can be viewed as the estimating equation of the parameters of the long-memory time series model. An empirical likelihood ratio is obtained which is shown to be asymptotically chi-square distributed. It can be used to construct confidence regions. By adding pseudo samples, we simultaneously eliminate the non-definition of the original empirical likelihood and enhance the coverage probability. Finite sample properties of the empirical likelihood confidence regions are explored through Monte Carlo simulation, and some real data applications are carried out.

scholarly journals On nonparametric regression for bivariate circular long-memory time series

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Beran ◽  
Britta Steffens ◽  
Sucharita Ghosh
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Nonparametric Regression ◽  
Long Range ◽  
Long Memory ◽  
Regression Function ◽  
Confidence Bands ◽  
Long Range Dependence ◽  
Asymptotic Results ◽  
Memory Time ◽  
Circular Time Series

AbstractWe consider nonparametric regression for bivariate circular time series with long-range dependence. Asymptotic results for circular Nadaraya–Watson estimators are derived. Due to long-range dependence, a range of asymptotically optimal bandwidths can be found where the asymptotic rate of convergence does not depend on the bandwidth. The result can be used for obtaining simple confidence bands for the regression function. The method is illustrated by an application to wind direction data.

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