Optimum linear selection indexes for multiple generation objectives with non-linear profit functions

1995 ◽  
Vol 61 (1) ◽  
pp. 165-175 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. C. M. Dekkers ◽  
P. V. Birke ◽  
J. P. Gibson

AbstractA method to obtain linear selection indexes that maximize objectives that involve average profit in one or more generations within a planning horizon based on non-linear profit functions, was derived through application of optimal control theory. The method involves simultaneous optimization of indexes for each generation in the planning horizon. Optimum linear indexes were found to be conform indexes derived from selection index theory, with economic values equal to a weighted sum of partial derivatives of the profit function at the trait means which result in each generation of the planning horizon. Numerical procedures to derive optimum indexes are presented. Methods and properties of alternative strategies for selection witli non-linear profit functions are illustrated for selection on egg weight and rate of lay in poultry. In the example, the additional benefit of selection indexes that maximize cumulative net present value of profit over a planning horizon of10 years was small relative to use of traditional selection procedures. Optimal indexes were also derived with a derivative-free non-linear programming optimizer, with identical results. The latter method also allows incorporation of additional constraints.Possible extensions of the optimal control methodology to address other problems related to optimization of selection over multiple generations are discussed.

1993 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 43-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Pasternak ◽  
J. I. Weller

AbstractAn iterative method is presented, based on the method of Moav and Hill (1966) to derive the optimum linear selection index for any number of traits with linear or non-linear profit functions. For non-linear profit functions the index weights will be functions of the trait means prior to selection and the selection intensity. Using the equations developed, the optimum selection index for three dairy cattle milk production traits was computed. Convergence was obtained after three to four iterations, and was robust to the starting values used for iteration. The ratio of expected genetic gains were only marginally different for selection intensities of 1 and 4 standard deviation units. Differences were greater for the index coefficients. All alternative indices tested gave lower gains in profit than the optimum index. For linear profit functions this index reduces to the standard linear index, and for two uncorrelated traits this index reduces to the index of Moav and Hill (1966).


Animals ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1340
Author(s):  
Enrico Mancin ◽  
Cristina Sartori ◽  
Nadia Guzzo ◽  
Beniamino Tuliozi ◽  
Roberto Mantovani

Selection in local dual-purpose breeds requires great carefulness because of the need to preserve peculiar traits and also guarantee the positive genetic progress for milk and beef production to maintain economic competitiveness. A specific breeding plan accounting for milk, beef, and functional traits is required by breeders of the Alpine Grey cattle (AG), a local dual-purpose breed of the Italian Alps. Hereditability and genetic correlations among all traits have been analyzed for this purpose. After that, different selection indexes were proposed to identify the most suitable for this breed. Firstly, a genetic parameters analysis was carried out with different datasets. The milk dataset contained 406,918 test day records of milk, protein, and fat yields and somatic cells (expressed as SCS). The beef dataset included performance test data conducted on 749 young bulls. Average daily gain, in vivo estimated carcass yields, and carcass conformation (SEUROP) were the phenotypes obtained from the performance tests. The morphological dataset included 21 linear type evaluations of 11,320 first party cows. Linear type traits were aggregated through factor analysis and three factors were retained, while head typicality (HT) and rear muscularity (RM) were analyzed as single traits. Heritability estimates (h2) for milk traits ranged from 0.125 to 0.219. Analysis of beef traits showed h2 greater than milk traits, ranging from 0.282 to 0.501. Type traits showed a medium value of h2 ranging from 0.238 to 0.374. Regarding genetic correlation, SCS and milk traits were strongly positively correlated. Milk traits had a negative genetic correlation with the factor accounting for udder conformations (−0.40) and with all performance test traits and RM. These latter traits showed also a negative genetic correlation with udder volume (−0.28). The HT and the factor accounting for rear legs traits were not correlated with milk traits, but negatively correlated with beef traits (−0.32 with RM). We argue that the consequence of these results is that the use of the current selection index, which is mainly focused on milk attitude, will lead to a deterioration of all other traits. In this study, we propose more appropriate selection indexes that account for genetic relationships among traits, including functional traits.


2013 ◽  
Vol 35 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 255-278 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Pagano ◽  
Riccardo Russo ◽  
Salvatore Strano ◽  
Mario Terzo

CERNE ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 141-149
Author(s):  
Simão Corrêa da Silva ◽  
Antonio Donizette de Oliveira ◽  
Luiz Moreira Coelho Junior ◽  
José Luiz Pereira de Rezende

Cerrado vegetation is Brazil's second largest biome, comprising about 388 municipalities in Minas Gerais state alone and serving as an important source of natural resources. A large share of the wood charcoal produced in Minas Gerais is sourced from Cerrado vegetation. The objective of this work is to assess the economic viability of Cerrado vegetation management for wood charcoal production, under conditions of risk. The study site is a fragment of Cerrado subjected to five levels of intervention as to basal area removal. For risk analysis, the Monte Carlo method was applied, using charcoal price, interest rate and land value as input variables, and using Net Present Value as output variable over an infinite planning horizon. It was concluded that introducing risk in the economic analysis of the various Cerrado management regimes helped provide additional information to that obtained by deterministic analysis, improving understanding and ensuring safety in decision-making about the economic viability of such regimes. For all treatments, the probability of VPL being negative increases with increasing cutting cycle lengths. For all treatments, the optimal cutting cycle is ten years. Treatments where a larger volume of wood was removed proved less prone to risks of economic inviability since they secure more revenue than treatments where less wood was removed.


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