Is bigger more effective? shock size and the efficacy of monetary policy

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Toyoichiro Shirota

Abstract This study empirically examines whether shock size matters for the US monetary policy effects. Using a nonlinear local projection method, I find that large monetary policy shocks are less powerful than smaller monetary policy shocks, with the information effect being the potential source of the observed asymmetry in monetary policy efficacy.

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (10) ◽  
pp. 2776 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rangan Gupta ◽  
Zhihui Lv ◽  
Wing-Keung Wong

Unlike the existing literature, which primarily studies the impact of only monetary policy shocks on real estate investment trusts (REITs), this paper develops a change-point vector autoregressive (VAR) model and then analyzes, for the first time, regime-specific impact of demand, supply, monetary policy, and spread yield shocks, identified using sign-restrictions, on US REITs returns. The model first isolates four major macroeconomic regimes in the US since the 1970s and discloses important changes to the statistical properties of REITs returns and its responses to the identified shocks. A variance decomposition analysis revealed aggregate supply shocks to have dominated in the early part of the sample period, and monetary policy and spread shocks at the end. Our results imply that ignoring other possible shocks in the model is likely to lead to incorrect inferences, and over-reliance on (conventional) monetary policy in correcting for possible bubbles in the REITs sector, which it will fail to rectify, given the importance of other shocks driving the REITs sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (2) ◽  
pp. 15-26
Author(s):  
Hock-Ann Lee ◽  
Mei-Syuen Phang ◽  
Siti Alwi ◽  
Huay-Huay Lee

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