scholarly journals Foreign direct investment (FDI) and economic growth in China: vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 80 ◽  
pp. 01002
Author(s):  
Pengfei Liu ◽  
Han-Sol Lee

This study examines the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth in China based on time series data for the period 1981-2018. For an empirical study, we used vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis. Before building our VAR model, we performed tests for unit root, normality, and heteroscedasticity to certify the data quality. The optimal lag 3 was selected using the Akaike information criterion (AIC), Schwartz (SC), and Hannan-Quinn (HQ) criteria. The Granger causality test is additionally performed. Based on the VAR model, we determined the impulse responses and variance decomposition of log FDI and log GDP in China. The results showed a positive and consistent impact of log FDI on China’s economic growth. The impact in the short-term is insignificant, as it is likely that there are multiple factors drive economic growth of China besides FDI inflows. However, the impact of FDI increases to a significant level in the long-term. Which indicates that FDI is one of the main factors to enhance Chinese economy. In conclusion, we suggest a policy implication how to sustain and promote the existing positive effects of FDI inflows on Chinese economy.

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 01-16
Author(s):  
J.O. Sekunmade

This paper investigates Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Freedom and Economic Growth of Nigeria between 1995 and 2018. Specifically, the data on: Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows, Economic Freedom (Aggregate index) and the data on real gross domestic product (RGDP) were used during the analysis. Time-series data were tested for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller Unit Root test method. Vector Autoregressive (VAR) estimation method was adopted to examine the effect of FDI, Economic Freedom on Economic growth. The interactive effect of FDI and Economic Freedom on Economic growth was determined using regression analysis while Granger Causality test method was adopted for determining the causality relationship among the variables. The result of the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) suggests that both FDI and Economic freedom do not have a significant effect on economic growth in Nigeria. The result of regression analysis shows that the joint coefficient of both FDI and EF is negative and not significant. The result of Granger Causality revealed that there is a uni-directional relationship between RGDP and FDI and between EF and FDI respectively. The research recommends that the federal government of Nigeria should adopt appropriate foreign trade strategies to enhance the impact of FDI on economic growth in Nigeria.


Author(s):  
Khun Sokang

The foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows are often seen as an important catalyst for economic growth in developing countries. This study aims to investigate the impact of FDI on the economic growth of Cambodia by utilizing the time series data throughout 2006-2016. The correlation matrix and multiple regression analysis techniques were used to analyze the collected data. The results of the study reveal that FDI has a positive impact on the economic growth of Cambodia. The study recommends that government should bring reforms in the domestic market to attract more FDI in Cambodia.


Author(s):  
Yusheng Kong ◽  
Sampson Agyapong Atuahene ◽  
Geoffrey Bentum-Mican ◽  
Abigail Konadu Aboagye

This paper aims to research whether there is link between FDI inflows and Economic growth in the Republic of Seychelles Island. The ordinary least square results obtained shows that in the impact of FDI inflows on economic growth is low. Small Island Developing States attracts less FDI inflow because they are limited to few resources that attracts overseas firms which results in retarded development. The research lighted that impact of foreign direct investment on host countries does not only depend on the quality and quantity of the FDI inflows but some other variables such as the internal policies and the management skills, market structures, economic trends among others.


2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-74
Author(s):  
Saif Alhakimi

This research paper aims to empirically analyze the impact of FDI on the long-term economic growth of Egypt. An empirical model was developed to explain the aggregate output, including total labor force, capital stock, foreign direct investment, government expenditure, and the real exchange rate. Annual time-series data from 1990–2013 were then used to estimate the model. Prior to calculating this estimation, the properties of the time series were diagnosed, and an error-correction model was developed and assessed. The overall results suggest that foreign direct investment makes a positive, yet weak and insignificant, contribution to the long-term economic growth of Egypt. This finding warrants further investigation to explore the possible reasons behind it, such as the degree of spillover that FDI has on economic growth and its impact on employment in areas like job creation, wage structure, research, and development.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-68
Author(s):  
Rashid Ahmad ◽  
Kashif Raza ◽  
Sobia Saher

Purpose: This paper estimates the impact of trade openness and economic growth in Pakistan by using time series data from period of 1975-2014. Econometric method was applied to estimate the impact of trade openness on economic growth. Gross fixed capital formation (proxy of investment), Foreign direct investment, Imports, Exports & trade openness (proxy of trade openness to check the volume of trade of a country) is used as explanatory variables while gross domestic product is treated as dependent variable in this study. Johansson co. integration approach developed by Johannes & Jeslius (1988) is used to evaluate the long run relationship among variables in this study. The results suggest that trade openness, imports, exports and foreign direct investment cast have positive impact on economic growth while on the other hand; gross fixed capital formation &labor force has negative impact on economic growth.


Author(s):  
Dat Tho Tran ◽  
Van Thi Cam Nguyen

This study aims at investigating the impact of globalization on economic growth in the case of Vietnam. Empirical analysis is done by using time series data for the period from 1995 to 2014. The paper tested the stationary cointegration of time series data and utilized the error correction modeling technique to determine the short run relationships among economic growth, globalization, foreign direct investment, balance of trade and exchange rate variables. Then, the long run relationship between economic growth and the variables representing economic integration were estimated by ordinary least square. The results show that globalization, measured by the KOF index, promotes economic growth and Vietnam has gained from integrating into the global economy. The overall index of globalization had positively and significantly impacted the economic growth in Vietnam. The results also indicated that economic globalization had a significantly positive effect on economic growth in the period examined. The study further revealed that foreign direct investment and the exchange rate affect economic growth positively whereas balance of trade affects economic growth negatively.


Author(s):  
Nashwa Maguid Hayel

Abstract: The achievement of EG and development is considered the core objective for both Developing Countires (DCs) and Least Developed Countries (LDCs), so countries try to get adequate funding to achieve this goal through optimal macroeconomic policies and different strategies. Countries prefer other mechanisms with less burden and cost to achieve economic growth, such as FDI flows. International development-oriented institutions such as WB and IMF recommend and consider FDI flows are the most important factors of the modern technology transfer, management, and know-how, which is necessarily needed in the local investment projects in poor countries, so FDI represents optimal external sources of growth. The objective of this study is to explain the impact of FDI on the EG of Djibouti. To achieve this objective the study used a secondary annual time series data for the period 1985-2019 by the method of Ordinary Least Square (OLS). The study results showed that FDI in the case of Djibouti tends to be statistically insignificant effects and a limited impact on Djibouti‘s EG, Moreover,other factors such as the Human Development Index(HDI), and Gross Fixed Capital Formation(GFCF), Trade Openness(TOP) shows significant effects on the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Finally, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) has no significance in the EG of Djibouti. The findings provide critical information to Djibouti policy decision-makers to make an informed decision with regard to attracting investment sectors and policies in encouraging foreign investors to invest in the country. KEYWORDS: Foreign Direct Investment, Economic Growth, Djibouti, Empirical Analysis.


2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 90-97
Author(s):  
Sani Ali Ibrahim

The economic development performance can be used to measure the economic growth of a given country. In economic analysis, a country can attain economic growth through the growth in national income measurement. However, there were rigorous discussions on the role of foreign direct investment (FDI) on economic growth and continued to be a topic of discussion on the contemporary economy. This paper serves as an extension to the previous empirical studies on the issue by providing some evidence from time series data for the period 1971 to 2013 of Nigeria. The primary aim of this study is to analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth of Nigeria taking trade openness, Gross Fixed Capital Formation and human capital as control variables. To investigate the long run equilibrium relationship, Johansen and Juselius co-integration approach is analyzed, while the speed of adjustment in the short run is analyzed through the use of VECM method. In Nigeria, FDI, GFCF and HK have long run relationship with economic growth. However, the coefficient of ECM in Nigeria is statistically significant at 1% level of significance. Thus, 10.8% of the adjustment is achieved due to the correction of the adjustment speed in a year.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Reenu Kumari ◽  
Malik Shahzad Shabbir ◽  
Sharjeel Saleem ◽  
Ghulam Yahya Khan ◽  
Bilal Ahmed Abbasi ◽  
...  

PurposeThis study examines the long-term and causal relationship among foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows, trade openness and economic growth from India.Design/methodology/approachThis study has used annual time series data from the period 1985–2018 and applied the Johansen cointegration and vector autoregression (VAR) model.FindingsThe results of Johansen's cointegration confirm no long-term relationship among all the above three variables. Further, the results of VAR Granger causality indicate that FDI causes economic growth and economic growth causes FDI, which confirms the bi-directional causality. In contrast, this study found that there is no bi-directional causality between trade openness and economic growth.Social implicationsThrough this study, the government could take the decisions related to foreign investment after adopting more trade openness because the study results revealed that if India follows more trade openness, then how FDI will flow (upward and downward). With impulse analysis, researchers, government and policymakers take the decision-related FDI inflows for the forthcoming ten years after 2018.Originality/valueThis study has found the most exciting results from the impulse functions of FDI inflows, trade openness and economic growth, which showed the situation of these three variables as increase and decrease in the forthcoming ten years.


Author(s):  
Amar Singh ◽  
Arvind Mohan

Foreign portfolio investment and foreign direct investment are the backbone of any economy as well as contributing to the growth of all developing economies. Herein, it motivated to do the study by investigating the causality between foreign investment and economic growth in India. To find out the exact causation effectively, we have employed a vector error correction model method of causality. The testing time series data period is from 1993 to 2017. Here, in this study, we converted annual gross domestic product and foreign direct investment data into monthly figures. For this we used econometric disaggregation techniques know as linear spline interpolation method for monthly data conversion. ADF unit root test confirms the presence of unit root at level and stationary at first difference. Johansen co-integration test is done after achieving the stationarity and it shows those variables are co-integrated. Whereas Granger causality test results show no-causality exists between (i) FDI and GDP (ii) GDP and FDI (iii) FE and GDP (iv) FD and GDP (v) FE and FDI (vi) FD and FDI (vii) FE and FD and uni-directional causality exist between GDP and FE (ii) GDP and FD (ii) FDI and FE (iv) FDI and FD (v) FD and FE. The results advocates that FDI, FE, FD boost the economic growth of India.


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