Three Balances and Twin Deficits

Author(s):  
Anwar Shaikh
Keyword(s):  
2014 ◽  
Vol 46 (7) ◽  
pp. 1313-1344 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHRISTIANE NICKEL ◽  
ANDREAS TUDYKA

2014 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 227-239
Author(s):  
Veronika Suliková ◽  
Marianna Sinicáková ◽  
Denis Horváth

This paper analyzes the twin deficit hypothesis - simultaneous current account deficit and budget deficit - in three small open Baltic countries (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania) running under certain forms of the fixed exchange rate regime. The idea of twin deficits is tested using the vector error correction model (VECM), Granger causality tests and forecast variance decomposition, involving three variables: current account, budget balance, and investments. The new estimates confirm significant long-run positive relation between budget balance and current account in Estonia and Lithuania on one hand and the negative one in case of budget balance and investments in all three considered countries. The results of the analysis are specific to each country as they depend on their particular macroeconomic background. The contribution was elaborated within the project VEGA 1/0973/11.


2015 ◽  
Vol 39 (1) ◽  
pp. 181-196 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdurrahman Nazif Çatık ◽  
Barış Gök ◽  
Utku Akseki

2021 ◽  
Vol 39 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kashif Munir ◽  
Kinza Mumtaz

This study examines the relationship between budget deficit and current account deficit, specifically twin deficits hypothesis, Ricardian equivalence hypothesis, and Feldstein-Horioka puzzle in South Asian countries. Results show that budget deficit and private savings investment balance do not affect current account deficit in the long run and rejects the Keynesian view of twin deficits hypothesis in South Asian countries. No causality exists between current account deficit and budget deficit in India, Pakistan, and Sri Lanka in short run, while bidirectional causality exists in Bangladesh. Ricardian equivalence hypothesis is rejected in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, while it holds in India and Pakistan. Feldstein-Horioka puzzle exists in Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, while it does not exist in India and Pakistan. Structural reforms in fiscal and trade sector are required to avoid emergence of twin deficits, while an active and effective role of government is required for sustainable economic growth.


2014 ◽  
Vol 61 (4) ◽  
pp. 568-577
Author(s):  
T.K. Jayaraman
Keyword(s):  

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